The Golden Globes kick off the Oscar races and that is why I mainly watch this awards show. Sure, it’s fun to see all of the year’s most famous celebrities get together in one room, and occasionally get drunk and make a fool out of themselves. But for me, the Emmy’s are the true awards for television and the Oscars are the true awards for movies. With the Oscars nominations just around the corner (Jan. 24), the Golden Globes actually do matter a lot more than they used to.
So what is at stake? We all know that La La Land is the clear front-runner going into the awards season. There is nothing that the Golden Globes can take away from La La Land, because it’s expected to win most of its 7 nominations (the most of the night). Even if they don’t win certain categories like Best Score or Best Screenplay, that won’t hurt it at all until the guilds start announcing their winners.
The two films that do have a lot riding on the Golden Globes are Moonlight and Manchester by the Sea. These two films are fighting against the La La Land giant at the moment and can sure use the momentum by winning big at the Golden Globes to possibly upset the feel-good musical come February 26. Therefore, the two major categories to look out for during the Globes will be Best Drama Film and Best Director. If either Moonlight or Manchester by the Sea takes both of these awards, it will give it a nice boost going into the Oscar nominations. I have a feeling that Moonlight will be the film to receive this boost, but these two awards can easily be split by both films.
Here are all of my predictions for the Golden Globes…
—
Movies
Best Film – Drama:
Hacksaw Ridge
Hell or High Water
Lion
Manchester by the Sea
Moonlight
Prediction: Moonlight. I feel like the HFPA will go for the more daring and talked about film between critic circles, but it’s practically a toss-up between this and Manchester by the Sea.
Best Film – Musical or Comedy:
20th Century Women
Deadpool
Florence Foster Jenkins
La La Land
Sing Street
Prediction: This one is La La Land, end of story.
Best Performance in a Film – Drama
Actor:
Casey Affleck – Manchester by the Sea as Lee Chandler
Joel Edgerton – Loving as Richard Loving
Andrew Garfield – Hacksaw Ridge as Desmond T. Doss
Viggo Mortensen – Captain Fantastic as Ben Cash
Denzel Washington – Fences as Troy Maxson
Prediction: I’ll go with Casey Affleck mainly because Manchester by the Sea is a real threat for Best Picture early on in the Oscar race. Denzel Washington was incredible in Fences, so if there is an upset it should be him.
Actress:
Amy Adams – Arrival as Dr. Louise Banks
Jessica Chastain – Miss Sloane as Elizabeth Sloane
Isabelle Huppert – Elle as Michèle Leblanc
Ruth Negga – Loving as Mildred Loving
Natalie Portman – Jackie as Jackie Kennedy
Prediction: I haven’t seen Jackie, but it’s hard not to expect Natalie Portman to win for that role. I’ll be rooting for Amy Adams here because her performance and the movie she starred in, Arrival, are going unnoticed.
Best Performance in a Film – Musical or Comedy
Actor:
Colin Farrell – The Lobster as David
Ryan Gosling – La La Land as Sebastian Wilder
Hugh Grant – Florence Foster Jenkins as St. Clair Bayfield
Jonah Hill – War Dogs as Efraim Diveroli
Ryan Reynolds – Deadpool as Wade Wilson/Deadpool
Prediction: Ryan Gosling because La La Land is on another level compared to any other film in the Musical/Comedy category this year. Gosling wasn’t as good as his co-star Emma Stone, but who else can the HFPA give this award to? Ryan Reynolds? Don’t make me laugh.
Actress:
Annette Bening – 20th Century Women as Dorothea Fields
Lily Collins – Rules Don’t Apply as Marla Mabrey
Hailee Steinfeld – The Edge of Seventeen as Nadine Franklin
Emma Stone – La La Land as Mia Dolan
Meryl Streep – Florence Foster Jenkins as Florence Foster Jenkins
Prediction: Emma Stone truly sparkled in her role in La La Land. She should win and well deserves it. But I have a soft spot for Hailee Steinfeld for her great performance in The Edge of Seventeen.
Best Supporting Actor:
Mahershala Ali – Moonlight as Juan
Jeff Bridges – Hell or High Water as Marcus Hamilton
Simon Helberg – Florence Foster Jenkins as Cosmé McMoon
Dev Patel – Lion as Saroo Brierley
Aaron Taylor-Johnson – Nocturnal Animals as Ray Marcus
Prediction: Mahershala Ali. If Moonlight is truly as big of a player in this Oscar race like people have been suggesting, he will walk away with this award.
Best Supporting Actress:
Viola Davis – Fences as Rose Maxson
Naomie Harris – Moonlight as Paula
Nicole Kidman – Lion as Sue Brierley
Octavia Spencer – Hidden Figures as Dorothy Vaughan
Michelle Williams – Manchester by the Sea as Randi
Prediction: Viola Davis was a powerhouse alongside Denzel Washington. She pulled enough of her weight around the screen that she could’ve and maybe should’ve been considered for a leading actress role. But in this category, she should be a clear winner.
Best Director:
Damien Chazelle – La La Land
Tom Ford – Nocturnal Animals
Mel Gibson – Hacksaw Ridge
Barry Jenkins – Moonlight
Kenneth Lonergan – Manchester by the Sea
Prediction: My favorite award of the Golden Globes because it’s the award that can truly match up the best films in both drama and comedy/musical categories. But to be fair, the director who has won the Best Director award at the Golden Globes, his movie has only won Best Picture at the Oscars once in the last seven years (Argo – Ben Affleck). So in hindsight, maybe you don’t want to win? Anyway, I’m predicting Barry Jenkins to win this award, just so La La Land doesn’t seem like such a clear runaway winner so early on in the Oscar race.
Best Screenplay:
Damien Chazelle – La La Land
Tom Ford – Nocturnal Animals
Barry Jenkins – Moonlight
Kenneth Lonergan – Manchester by the Sea
Taylor Sheridan – Hell or High Water
Prediction: Manchester by the Sea probably has the best plot and story-line of any film nominated here. That’s why I’m going with Kenneth Lonergan.
Best Original Score:
Nicholas Britell – Moonlight
Justin Hurwitz – La La Land
Jóhann Jóhannsson – Arrival
Dustin O’Halloran & Hauschka – Lion
Hans Zimmer, Pharrell Williams & Benjamin Wallfisch – Hidden Figures
Prediction: Doesn’t La La Land HAVE to win here? The score for the film was simply lovely.
Best Original Song:
“Can’t Stop the Feeling!” (Max Martin, Shellback & Justin Timberlake) – Trolls
“City of Stars” (Justin Hurwitz, Pasek & Paul) – La La Land
“Faith” (Ryan Tedder, Stevie Wonder & Francis Farewell Starlite) – Sing
“Gold” (Stephen Gaghan, Danger Mouse, Daniel Pemberton & Iggy Pop) – Gold
“How Far I’ll Go” (Lin-Manuel Miranda) – Moana
Prediction: Again, doesn’t La La Land have to win here? But to be fair, I still have “Can’t Stop the Feeling” stuck in my head from the first time I heard it. Then again, Lin-Manuel Miranda is having quite the year… could Moana upset?
Best Animated Feature:
Kubo and the Two Strings
Moana
My Life as a Zucchini
Sing
Zootopia
Prediction: Zootopia.
Best Foreign Language Film:
Divines (France)
Elle (France)
Neruda (Chile)
The Salesman (Iran/France)
Toni Erdmann (Germany)
Prediction: Elle
Television
Best TV Drama:
The Crown
Game of Thrones
Stranger Things
This Is Us
Westworld
Prediction: This is an awesome group of new shows, which makes this category extremely exciting. It’s hard not to pick Game of Thrones here as it’s arguably the most popular show on television, but it is surrounded by a bunch of new-comers that everyone has been talking about. Stranger Things is surely a popular pick and Westworld was the talk around every office week-after-week. But I’m going with The Crown. GoT has never won Best Drama at the Globes and likely won’t until its final season. Therefore, The Crown seems like the most appealing choice to the diverse HFPA.
Best TV Comedy:
Atlanta
Black-ish
Mozart in the Jungle
Transparent
Veep
Prediction: Veep is an Emmy darling, but for the Globes, they love rewarding new and refreshing shows. This year should go to Atlanta, Donald Glover’s comedy on FX.
Best Actor – Drama
Rami Malek – Mr. Robot as Elliot Alderson
Bob Odenkirk – Better Call Saul as James Morgan “Jimmy” McGill
Matthew Rhys – The Americans as Philip Jennings
Liev Schreiber – Ray Donovan as Raymond “Ray” Donovan
Billy Bob Thornton – Goliath as Billy McBride
Prediction: I would love to see Matthew Rhys win here, but if I was betting on this category my money would go to Rami Malek.
Best Actress – Drama
Caitriona Balfe – Outlander as Claire Beauchamp Randall/Fraser
Claire Foy – The Crown as Queen Elizabeth II
Keri Russell – The Americans as Elizabeth Jennings
Winona Ryder – Stranger Things as Joyce Byers
Evan Rachel Wood – Westworld as Dolores Abernathy
Prediction: Claire Foy. Done and done.
Best Actor – Comedy
Anthony Anderson – Black-ish as Andre “Dre” Johnson Sr.
Gael García Bernal – Mozart in the Jungle as Rodrigo De Souza
Donald Glover – Atlanta as Earnest “Earn” Marks
Nick Nolte – Graves as Richard Graves
Jeffrey Tambor – Transparent as Maura Pfefferman
Prediction: Donald Glover.
Best Actress – Comedy
Rachel Bloom – Crazy Ex-Girlfriend as Rebecca Nora Bunch
Julia Louis-Dreyfus – Veep as Selina Meyer
Sarah Jessica Parker – Divorce as Frances Dufresne
Issa Rae – Insecure as Issa Dee
Gina Rodriguez – Jane the Virgin as Jane Gloriana Villanueva
Tracee Ellis Ross – Black-ish as Dr. Rainbow “Bow” Johnson
Prediction: Julia Louis-Dreyfus is the safe pick here so I’ll go with her, but from Rachel Bloom to Gina Rodriguez, and Issa Rae from Insecure, this could be anyone’s to win.
Best Mini-series or TV Film:
American Crime
The Dresser
The Night Manager
The Night Of
The People v. O. J. Simpson: American Crime Story
Prediction: The People vs. O.J. Simpson will win here. No questions asked.
Best Actor – Miniseries
Riz Ahmed – The Night Of as Nasir “Naz” Khan
Bryan Cranston – All the Way as President Lyndon B. Johnson
Tom Hiddleston – The Night Manager as Jonathan Pine
John Turturro – The Night Of as John Stone
Courtney B. Vance – The People v. O. J. Simpson: American Crime Story as Johnnie Cochran
Prediction: Courtney B. Vance. Let’s get all these O.J. awards handed out early, okay?
Best Actress – Miniseries
Felicity Huffman – American Crime as Leslie Graham
Riley Keough – The Girlfriend Experience as Christine Reade/”Chelsea Rayne”/”Amanda Hayes”
Sarah Paulson – The People v. O. J. Simpson: American Crime Story as Marcia Clark
Charlotte Rampling – London Spy as Frances Turner
Kerry Washington – Confirmation as Anita Hill
Prediction: Sarah Paulson.
Best TV Supporting Actor:
Sterling K. Brown – The People v. O. J. Simpson: American Crime Story as Christopher Darden
Hugh Laurie – The Night Manager as Richard Onslow Roper
John Lithgow – The Crown as Winston Churchill
Christian Slater – Mr. Robot as Mr. Robot / Edward Alderson
John Travolta – The People v. O. J. Simpson: American Crime Story as Robert Shapiro
Prediction: John Lithgow.
Best TV Supporting Actress:
Olivia Colman – The Night Manager as Angela Burr
Lena Headey – Game of Thrones as Cersei Lannister
Chrissy Metz – This Is Us as Kate Pearson
Mandy Moore – This Is Us as Rebecca Pearson
Thandie Newton – Westworld as Maeve Millay
Prediction: Chrissy Metz.
—