Golden Globes 2017 – Predictions

January 8, 2017

golden-globes-trophies

The Golden Globes kick off the Oscar races and that is why I mainly watch this awards show. Sure, it’s fun to see all of the year’s most famous celebrities get together in one room, and occasionally get drunk and make a fool out of themselves. But for me, the Emmy’s are the true awards for television and the Oscars are the true awards for movies. With the Oscars nominations just around the corner (Jan. 24), the Golden Globes actually do matter a lot more than they used to.

So what is at stake? We all know that La La Land is the clear front-runner going into the awards season. There is nothing that the Golden Globes can take away from La La Land, because it’s expected to win most of its 7 nominations (the most of the night). Even if they don’t win certain categories like Best Score or Best Screenplay, that won’t hurt it at all until the guilds start announcing their winners.

The two films that do have a lot riding on the Golden Globes are Moonlight and Manchester by the Sea. These two films are fighting against the La La Land giant at the moment and can sure use the momentum by winning big at the Golden Globes to possibly upset the feel-good musical come February 26. Therefore, the two major categories to look out for during the Globes will be Best Drama Film and Best Director. If either Moonlight or Manchester by the Sea takes both of these awards, it will give it a nice boost going into the Oscar nominations. I have a feeling that Moonlight will be the film to receive this boost, but these two awards can easily be split by both films.

Here are all of my predictions for the Golden Globes…

Movies

Best Film – Drama:

Hacksaw Ridge

Hell or High Water

Lion

Manchester by the Sea

Moonlight

Prediction: Moonlight. I feel like the HFPA will go for the more daring and talked about film between critic circles, but it’s practically a toss-up between this and Manchester by the Sea.

 

Best Film – Musical or Comedy:

20th Century Women

Deadpool

Florence Foster Jenkins

La La Land

Sing Street

Prediction: This one is La La Land, end of story.

 

Best Performance in a Film – Drama

Actor:

Casey Affleck – Manchester by the Sea as Lee Chandler

Joel Edgerton – Loving as Richard Loving

Andrew Garfield – Hacksaw Ridge as Desmond T. Doss

Viggo Mortensen – Captain Fantastic as Ben Cash

Denzel Washington – Fences as Troy Maxson

Prediction: I’ll go with Casey Affleck mainly because Manchester by the Sea is a real threat for Best Picture early on in the Oscar race. Denzel Washington was incredible in Fences, so if there is an upset it should be him.

 

Actress:

Amy Adams – Arrival as Dr. Louise Banks

Jessica Chastain – Miss Sloane as Elizabeth Sloane

Isabelle Huppert – Elle as Michèle Leblanc

Ruth Negga – Loving as Mildred Loving

Natalie Portman – Jackie as Jackie Kennedy

Prediction: I haven’t seen Jackie, but it’s hard not to expect Natalie Portman to win for that role. I’ll be rooting for Amy Adams here because her performance and the movie she starred in, Arrival, are going unnoticed.

 

Best Performance in a Film – Musical or Comedy

Actor:

Colin Farrell – The Lobster as David

Ryan Gosling – La La Land as Sebastian Wilder

Hugh Grant – Florence Foster Jenkins as St. Clair Bayfield

Jonah Hill – War Dogs as Efraim Diveroli

Ryan Reynolds – Deadpool as Wade Wilson/Deadpool

Prediction: Ryan Gosling because La La Land is on another level compared to any other film in the Musical/Comedy category this year. Gosling wasn’t as good as his co-star Emma Stone, but who else can the HFPA give this award to? Ryan Reynolds? Don’t make me laugh.

 

Actress:

Annette Bening – 20th Century Women as Dorothea Fields

Lily Collins – Rules Don’t Apply as Marla Mabrey

Hailee Steinfeld – The Edge of Seventeen as Nadine Franklin

Emma Stone – La La Land as Mia Dolan

Meryl Streep – Florence Foster Jenkins as Florence Foster Jenkins

Prediction: Emma Stone truly sparkled in her role in La La Land. She should win and well deserves it. But I have a soft spot for Hailee Steinfeld for her great performance in The Edge of Seventeen.

 

Best Supporting Actor:

Mahershala Ali – Moonlight as Juan

Jeff Bridges – Hell or High Water as Marcus Hamilton

Simon Helberg – Florence Foster Jenkins as Cosmé McMoon

Dev Patel – Lion as Saroo Brierley

Aaron Taylor-Johnson – Nocturnal Animals as Ray Marcus

Prediction: Mahershala Ali. If Moonlight is truly as big of a player in this Oscar race like people have been suggesting, he will walk away with this award.

 

Best Supporting Actress:

Viola Davis – Fences as Rose Maxson

Naomie Harris – Moonlight as Paula

Nicole Kidman – Lion as Sue Brierley

Octavia Spencer – Hidden Figures as Dorothy Vaughan

Michelle Williams – Manchester by the Sea as Randi

Prediction: Viola Davis was a powerhouse alongside Denzel Washington. She pulled enough of her weight around the screen that she could’ve and maybe should’ve been considered for a leading actress role. But in this category, she should be a clear winner.

 

Best Director:

Damien Chazelle – La La Land

Tom Ford – Nocturnal Animals

Mel Gibson – Hacksaw Ridge

Barry Jenkins – Moonlight

Kenneth Lonergan – Manchester by the Sea

Prediction: My favorite award of the Golden Globes because it’s the award that can truly match up the best films in both drama and comedy/musical categories. But to be fair, the director who has won the Best Director award at the Golden Globes, his movie has only won Best Picture at the Oscars once in the last seven years (Argo – Ben Affleck). So in hindsight, maybe you don’t want to win? Anyway, I’m predicting Barry Jenkins to win this award, just so La La Land doesn’t seem like such a clear runaway winner so early on in the Oscar race.

 

Best Screenplay:

Damien Chazelle – La La Land

Tom Ford – Nocturnal Animals

Barry Jenkins – Moonlight

Kenneth Lonergan – Manchester by the Sea

Taylor Sheridan – Hell or High Water

Prediction: Manchester by the Sea probably has the best plot and story-line of any film nominated here. That’s why I’m going with Kenneth Lonergan.

 

Best Original Score:

Nicholas Britell – Moonlight

Justin Hurwitz – La La Land

Jóhann Jóhannsson – Arrival

Dustin O’Halloran & Hauschka – Lion

Hans Zimmer, Pharrell Williams & Benjamin Wallfisch – Hidden Figures

Prediction: Doesn’t La La Land HAVE to win here? The score for the film was simply lovely.

 

Best Original Song:

“Can’t Stop the Feeling!” (Max Martin, Shellback & Justin Timberlake) – Trolls

“City of Stars” (Justin Hurwitz, Pasek & Paul) – La La Land

“Faith” (Ryan Tedder, Stevie Wonder & Francis Farewell Starlite) – Sing

“Gold” (Stephen Gaghan, Danger Mouse, Daniel Pemberton & Iggy Pop) – Gold

“How Far I’ll Go” (Lin-Manuel Miranda) – Moana

Prediction: Again, doesn’t La La Land have to win here? But to be fair, I still have “Can’t Stop the Feeling” stuck in my head from the first time I heard it. Then again, Lin-Manuel Miranda is having quite the year… could Moana upset?

 

Best Animated Feature:

Kubo and the Two Strings

Moana

My Life as a Zucchini

Sing

Zootopia

Prediction: Zootopia.

 

Best Foreign Language Film:

Divines (France)

Elle (France)

Neruda (Chile)

The Salesman (Iran/France)

Toni Erdmann (Germany)

Prediction: Elle

 

Television

Best TV Drama:

The Crown

Game of Thrones

Stranger Things

This Is Us

Westworld

Prediction: This is an awesome group of new shows, which makes this category extremely exciting. It’s hard not to pick Game of Thrones here as it’s arguably the most popular show on television, but it is surrounded by a bunch of new-comers that everyone has been talking about. Stranger Things is surely a popular pick and Westworld was the talk around every office week-after-week. But I’m going with The Crown. GoT has never won Best Drama at the Globes and likely won’t until its final season. Therefore, The Crown seems like the most appealing choice to the diverse HFPA.

 

Best TV Comedy:

Atlanta

Black-ish

Mozart in the Jungle

Transparent

Veep

Prediction: Veep is an Emmy darling, but for the Globes, they love rewarding new and refreshing shows. This year should go to Atlanta, Donald Glover’s comedy on FX.

 

Best Actor – Drama

Rami Malek – Mr. Robot as Elliot Alderson

Bob Odenkirk – Better Call Saul as James Morgan “Jimmy” McGill

Matthew Rhys – The Americans as Philip Jennings

Liev Schreiber – Ray Donovan as Raymond “Ray” Donovan

Billy Bob Thornton – Goliath as Billy McBride

Prediction: I would love to see Matthew Rhys win here, but if I was betting on this category my money would go to Rami Malek.

 

Best Actress – Drama

Caitriona Balfe – Outlander as Claire Beauchamp Randall/Fraser

Claire Foy – The Crown as Queen Elizabeth II

Keri Russell – The Americans as Elizabeth Jennings

Winona Ryder – Stranger Things as Joyce Byers

Evan Rachel Wood – Westworld as Dolores Abernathy

Prediction: Claire Foy. Done and done.

 

Best Actor – Comedy

Anthony Anderson – Black-ish as Andre “Dre” Johnson Sr.

Gael García Bernal – Mozart in the Jungle as Rodrigo De Souza

Donald Glover – Atlanta as Earnest “Earn” Marks

Nick Nolte – Graves as Richard Graves

Jeffrey Tambor – Transparent as Maura Pfefferman

Prediction: Donald Glover.

 

Best Actress – Comedy

Rachel Bloom – Crazy Ex-Girlfriend as Rebecca Nora Bunch

Julia Louis-Dreyfus – Veep as Selina Meyer

Sarah Jessica Parker – Divorce as Frances Dufresne

Issa Rae – Insecure as Issa Dee

Gina Rodriguez – Jane the Virgin as Jane Gloriana Villanueva

Tracee Ellis Ross – Black-ish as Dr. Rainbow “Bow” Johnson

Prediction: Julia Louis-Dreyfus is the safe pick here so I’ll go with her, but from Rachel Bloom to Gina Rodriguez, and Issa Rae from Insecure, this could be anyone’s to win.

 

Best Mini-series or TV Film:

American Crime

The Dresser

The Night Manager

The Night Of

The People v. O. J. Simpson: American Crime Story

Prediction: The People vs. O.J. Simpson will win here. No questions asked.

 

Best Actor – Miniseries

Riz Ahmed – The Night Of as Nasir “Naz” Khan

Bryan Cranston – All the Way as President Lyndon B. Johnson

Tom Hiddleston – The Night Manager as Jonathan Pine

John Turturro – The Night Of as John Stone

Courtney B. Vance – The People v. O. J. Simpson: American Crime Story as Johnnie Cochran

Prediction: Courtney B. Vance. Let’s get all these O.J. awards handed out early, okay?

 

Best Actress – Miniseries

Felicity Huffman – American Crime as Leslie Graham

Riley Keough – The Girlfriend Experience as Christine Reade/”Chelsea Rayne”/”Amanda Hayes”

Sarah Paulson – The People v. O. J. Simpson: American Crime Story as Marcia Clark

Charlotte Rampling – London Spy as Frances Turner

Kerry Washington – Confirmation as Anita Hill

Prediction: Sarah Paulson.

 

Best TV Supporting Actor:

Sterling K. Brown – The People v. O. J. Simpson: American Crime Story as Christopher Darden

Hugh Laurie – The Night Manager as Richard Onslow Roper

John Lithgow – The Crown as Winston Churchill

Christian Slater – Mr. Robot as Mr. Robot / Edward Alderson

John Travolta – The People v. O. J. Simpson: American Crime Story as Robert Shapiro

Prediction: John Lithgow.

 

Best TV Supporting Actress:

Olivia Colman – The Night Manager as Angela Burr

Lena Headey – Game of Thrones as Cersei Lannister

Chrissy Metz – This Is Us as Kate Pearson

Mandy Moore – This Is Us as Rebecca Pearson

Thandie Newton – Westworld as Maeve Millay

Prediction: Chrissy Metz.

 

 


5 Things about The Golden Globes

January 13, 2009

The Golden Globes returned with a fine ceremony.  Here are five things I specifically liked:

1.  Slumdog Millionaire cleaning house! I can’t say that I was completely surprised by this… but I was a little bit.  I thought the HFPA would give Slumdog their due, but not like this:  Best Picture, Best Director, Best Score, and Best Screenplay.  Four for four!  Everyone in the world loves this movie.  What can stop this from winning the Oscar?

2.  Kate Winslet finally gets her due.  Prior to the 66th annual Golden Globes, Mrs. Winslet has been nominated for 5 Golden Globe awards and 5 Oscars… and she has no trophies to show for it.  It’s hard to pick only one year saying “This was Kate Winslet’s year” because she has so many.  Titanic exploded her to fame but she continued choosing artistic and meaningful films like Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind, Little Children, and Finding Neverland.  Finally this year she has two movies out:  The Reader and Revolutionary Road.  And there was no surprise she picked up her 6th and 7th Globe nomination… but it was a shock that she walked away with two trophies.  Now will The Academy follow suit?  They really should.

3.  Heath Ledger wins Best Supporting Actor.  Not like anyone was surprised by this, but Christopher Nolan accepted the award for Ledger and gave a precise yet sweet speech that was perfect.

4.  Other notable speeches:  Mickey Rourke (Aronofsky flipping him the bird), Colin Farrell (joking about cocaine), Tina Fey (telling her online critics to “suck it!”), and Tracy Morgan (just his usual ridiculousness).  All were hilarious.

5.  Steven Speilberg’s Lifetime Achievement Award. This has been in the making for a long time.

And here are 3 not so good things…

1.  We all knew the program is 3-hours long, but they always allow the beginning award winners to talk endlessly and cut off the winners to the most important awards at the end.  What’s that about?

2.  Sure, having the stars of TV and movies all in one room with alcohol makes for good television.  But honestly, who cares about television awards?  When you see the same exact actors playing the same character nominated in the same category year-after-year, where’s the excitement in that?

3.  This year’s Golden Globes produced the second worst ratings since 1995.  So while it was quite a ceremony, people just didn’t tune in.


The Golden Globes Tonight!

January 11, 2009

That’s right folks!  The Golden Globes are tonight!  I’m not sure why I’m this excited, but I am.  Maybe it’s just because with the Golden Globes, I know that The Academy Awards are just around the corner.  Nonetheless, this ceremony should be full of glitz and glamour to make up from last year’s telecast because of the Writer’s Strike.

I’m still debating if I’m going to be live-blogging the event tonight or not.  So either check back for my updated Golden Globes Diary or check back even later for my summary and analysis.

Things to look out for:  If Heath Ledger takes the Best Supporting Actor award (which I think he will), expect a moving acceptance speech, a standing ovation, etc.  It should be the Globes’ finest moment of the night.


2009 Golden Globes Predictions

January 9, 2009

golden-globe

My predictions are in bold.

Best Motion Picture – Drama:

The Curious Case of Benjamin Button (2008)

Frost/Nixon (2008)

The Reader (2008)

Revolutionary Road (2008)

Slumdog Millionaire (2008)

Best Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy:

Burn After Reading (2008)

Happy-Go-Lucky (2008)

In Bruges (2008)

Mamma Mia! (2008)

Vicky Cristina Barcelona (2008)

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama:

Leonardo DiCaprio for Revolutionary Road (2008)

Frank Langella for Frost/Nixon (2008)

Sean Penn for Milk (2008)

Brad Pitt for The Curious Case of Benjamin Button (2008)

Mickey Rourke for The Wrestler (2008)

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama:

Anne Hathaway for Rachel Getting Married (2008)

Angelina Jolie for Changeling (2008)

Meryl Streep for Doubt (2008)

Kristin Scott Thomas for Il y a longtemps que je t’aime (2008)

Kate Winslet for Revolutionary Road (2008)

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy:

Javier Bardem for Vicky Cristina Barcelona (2008)

Colin Farrell for In Bruges (2008)

James Franco for Pineapple Express (2008)

Brendan Gleeson for In Bruges (2008)

Dustin Hoffman for Last Chance Harvey (2008)

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy:

Rebecca Hall for Vicky Cristina Barcelona (2008)

Sally Hawkins for Happy-Go-Lucky (2008)

Frances McDormand for Burn After Reading (2008)

Meryl Streep for Mamma Mia! (2008)

Emma Thompson for Last Chance Harvey (2008)

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture:

Tom Cruise for Tropic Thunder (2008)

Robert Downey Jr. for Tropic Thunder (2008)

Ralph Fiennes for The Duchess (2008)

Philip Seymour Hoffman for Doubt (2008)

Heath Ledger for The Dark Knight (2008)

Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture:

Amy Adams for Doubt (2008)

Penélope Cruz for Vicky Cristina Barcelona (2008)

Viola Davis for Doubt (2008)

Marisa Tomei for The Wrestler (2008)

Kate Winslet for The Reader (2008)

Best Director – Motion Picture:

Danny Boyle for Slumdog Millionaire (2008)

Stephen Daldry for The Reader (2008)

David Fincher for The Curious Case of Benjamin Button (2008)

Ron Howard for Frost/Nixon (2008)

Sam Mendes for Revolutionary Road (2008)

Best Screenplay – Motion Picture:

The Curious Case of Benjamin Button (2008): Eric Roth, Robin Swicord

Doubt (2008): John Patrick Shanley

Frost/Nixon (2008): Peter Morgan

The Reader (2008): David Hare

Slumdog Millionaire (2008): Simon Beaufoy

Best Original Song – Motion Picture:

Bolt (2008)(“I Thought I Lost You”)

Cadillac Records (2008)(“Once in a Lifetime”)

Gran Torino (2008)(“Gran Torino”)

WALL·E (2008)(“Down to Earth”)

The Wrestler (2008)(“The Wrestler”)

Best Original Score – Motion Picture:

Changeling (2008): Clint Eastwood

The Curious Case of Benjamin Button (2008): Alexandre Desplat

Defiance (2008): James Newton Howard

Frost/Nixon (2008): Hans Zimmer

Slumdog Millionaire (2008): A.R. Rahman

Best Animated Film:

Bolt (2008)

Kung Fu Panda (2008)

WALL·E (2008)

Best Foreign Language Film:

Der Baader Meinhof Komplex (2008)

Maria Larssons eviga ögonblick (2008)

Gomorra (2008)

Il y a longtemps que je t’aime (2008)

Vals Im Bashir (2008)

Best Television Series – Drama

“Dexter” (2006)

“House M.D.” (2004)

“In Treatment” (2008)

“Mad Men” (2007)

“True Blood” (2007)

Best Television Series – Musical or Comedy

“Californication” (2007)

“Entourage” (2004)

“The Office” (2005)

“30 Rock” (2006)

“Weeds” (2005)

Best Mini-Series or Motion Picture Made for Television

Bernard and Doris (2007)

“Cranford” (2007)

“John Adams” (2008)

A Raisin in the Sun (2008) (TV)

Recount (2008) (TV)

Best Performance by an Actor in a Mini-Series or a Motion Picture Made for Television

Ralph Fiennes for Bernard and Doris (2007)

Paul Giamatti for “John Adams” (2008)

Kevin Spacey for Recount (2008) (TV)

Kiefer Sutherland for 24: Redemption (2008) (TV)

Tom Wilkinson for Recount (2008) (TV)

Best Performance by an Actress in a Mini-Series or a Motion Picture Made for Television

Judi Dench for “Cranford” (2007)

Catherine Keener for An American Crime (2007)

Laura Linney for “John Adams” (2008)

Shirley MacLaine for Coco Chanel (2008) (TV)

Susan Sarandon for Bernard and Doris (2007)

Best Performance by an Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy

Christina Applegate for “Samantha Who?” (2007)

America Ferrera for “Ugly Betty” (2006)

Tina Fey for “30 Rock” (2006)

Debra Messing for “The Starter Wife” (2008)

Mary-Louise Parker for “Weeds” (2005)

Best Performance by an Actor in a Television Series – Drama

Gabriel Byrne for “In Treatment” (2008)

Michael C. Hall for “Dexter” (2006)

Jon Hamm for “Mad Men” (2007)

Hugh Laurie for “House M.D.” (2004)

Jonathan Rhys Meyers for “The Tudors” (2007)

Best Performance by an Actress in a Television Series – Drama

Sally Field for “Brothers & Sisters” (2006)

Mariska Hargitay for “Law & Order: Special Victims Unit” (1999)

January Jones for “Mad Men” (2007)

Anna Paquin for “True Blood” (2007)

Kyra Sedgwick for “The Closer” (2005)

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in a Series, Mini-Series or Motion Picture Made for Television

Neil Patrick Harris for “How I Met Your Mother” (2005)

Denis Leary for Recount (2008) (TV)

Jeremy Piven for “Entourage” (2004)

Blair Underwood for “In Treatment” (2008)

Tom Wilkinson for “John Adams” (2008)

Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role in a Series, Mini-Series or Motion Picture Made for Television

Eileen Atkins for “Cranford” (2007)

Laura Dern for Recount (2008) (TV)

Melissa George for “In Treatment” (2008)

Rachel Griffiths for “Brothers & Sisters” (2006)

Dianne Wiest for “In Treatment” (2008)


The Golden Globes Recap

January 16, 2008

Film Winners: 

Best Picture: Atonement
Best Actor, Drama: Daniel Day Lewis, There Will Be Blood
Best Actress, Drama: Julie Christie, Away From Her
Best Picture Comedy/Musical: Sweeney Todd
Best Screenplay: No Country for Old Men
Best Actor Musical/Comedy: Johnny Depp, Sweeney Todd
Best Director: Julian Schnabel, Diving Bell and the Butterfly!
Best Supporting Actress: Cate Blanchett, I’m Not There
Best Supporting Actor: Javier Bardem, No Country for Old Men
Best Actress – Musical Comedy: Marion Cotillard, La Vie En Rose
Animated Film: Ratatouille
Best Song: Guaranteed
Best Score: Atonement
Best Foreign Film: The Diving Bell and the Butterfly

And the Globes have spoken.  Who watched The Golden Globes press conference where they simply opened up envelopes and declared a winner?  Neither did I… but anyway, let’s see what they chose.

Overall, there weren’t too many surprises.  Instead of going on and on about the obvious winners, I’ll dive into the shockers.  The main surprise of the night was when Julian Schnabel (The Diving Bell and the Butterfly) won for Best Director.  I thought the team of Ethan and Joel Coen was definitely going to take the Best Director category, and even if they didn’t I had two alternate picks before Schnabel. 

Some slight surprises include:  The Coen Brothers taking the Best Screenplay award from Diablo Cody (Juno).  Marion Cotillard winning Best Actress for a Musical/Comedy over Ellen Page (Juno).  And Cate Blanchett (I’m Not There) winning Best Supporting Actress over Amy Ryan (Gone Baby Gone).  But these weren’t any major upsets. 

Alas, I must talk about the Best Drama win for Atonement.  Sure, No Country for Old Men was the favorite and it’s been the frontrunner to win Best Picture for a while now… but I felt Atonement’s win was expected.  Does this give Atonement a better shot at a Best Picture nomination?  Absolutely not.  Being shutout by the major Guilds is definitely a blow to its chances.  I believe that if it can sneak into the top 5, it could very well upset the Best Picture category.  But as of right now, even with a GG Best Drama win, things aren’t looking good for Atonement (besides the number of visual and tech nominations it’ll receive).


The Golden Globes

December 14, 2007

The Golden Globes
Sunday – January 13, 2008

The nominees for the 65th Golden Globes were announced earlier today.  Before I list the nominations, let me say a few things about this award ceremony in case you’re unfamiliar with it.  Usually about a month prior to the Oscars, the Golden Globes is a dinner ceremony that awards outstanding accomplishments to television and movies.  Run by the Hollywood Foreign Press Association (HFPA), some consider this award ceremony as one of the biggest guides to figuring out who are the frontrunners for the Oscars.  On the other hand, others suggest that the Golden Globes is a star-studded popularity contest.  Nonetheless, here are the nominations:

MOTION PICTURES:

Picture, Drama: “American Gangster,” “Atonement,” “Eastern Promises,” “The Great Debaters,” “Michael Clayton,” “No Country for Old Men,” “There Will Be Blood.”

Actress, Drama: Cate Blanchett, “Elizabeth: The Golden Age”; Julie Christie, “Away From Her”; Jodie Foster, “The Brave One”; Angelina Jolie, “A Mighty Heart”; Kiera Knightley, “Atonement.”

Actor, Drama: George Clooney, “Michael Clayton”; Daniel Day-Lewis, “There Will Be Blood”; James McAvoy, “Atonement”; Viggo Mortensen, “Eastern Promises”; Denzel Washington, “American Gangster.”

Picture, Musical or Comedy: “Across the Universe,” “Charlie Wilson’s War,” “Hairspray,” “Juno,” “Sweeney Todd.”

Actress, Musical or Comedy: Amy Adams, “Enchanted”; Nikki Blonsky, “Hairspray”; Helena Bonham Carter, “Sweeney Todd”; Marion Cotillard, “La Vie En Rose”; Ellen Page, “Juno.”

Actor, Musical or Comedy: Johnny Depp, “Sweeney Todd”; Ryan Gosling, “Lars and the Real Girl”; Tom Hanks, “Charlie Wilson’s War”; Philip Seymour Hoffman, “The Savages”; John C. Reilly, “Walk Hard: The Dewey Cox Story.”

Supporting Actress: Cate Blanchett, “I’m Not There”; Julia Roberts, “Charlie Wilson’s War”; Saoirse Ronan, “Atonement”; Amy Ryan, “Gone Baby Gone”; Tilda Swinton, “Michael Clayton.”

Supporting Actor: Casey Affleck, “The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford”; Javier Bardem, “No Country for Old Men”; Philip Seymour Hoffman, “Charlie Wilson’s War”; John Travolta, “Hairspray”; Tom Wilkinson, “Michael Clayton.”

Director: Tim Burton, “Sweeney Todd”; Ethan Coen and Joel Coen, “No Country for Old Men”; Julian Schnabel, “The Diving Bell and the Butterfly”; Ridley Scott, “American Gangster”; Joe Wright, “Atonement.”

Screenplay: Diablo Cody, “Juno”; Ethan Coen and Joel Coen, “No Country for Old Men”; Christopher Hampton, “Atonement”; Ronald Harwood, “The Diving Bell and the Butterfly”; Aaron Sorkin, “Charlie Wilson’s War.”

Foreign Language: “4 Months, 3 Weeks and 2 Days,” Romania; “The Diving Bell and the Butterfly,” France and U.S.; “The Kite Runner,” U.S.; “Lust, Caution,” Taiwan; “Persepolis,” France.

Animated Film: “Bee Movie,” “Ratatouille,” “The Simpsons Movie.”

Original Score: Michael Brook, Kaki King, Eddie Edder, “Into the Wild”; Clint Eastwood, “Grace Is Gone”; Alberto Iglesias, “The Kite Runner”; Dario Marianelli, “Atonement”; Howard Shore, “Eastern Promises.”

Original Song: “Despedida” from “Love in the Time of Cholera”; “Grace Is Gone” from “Grace Is Gone”; “Guaranteed” from “Into the Wild”; “That’s How You Know” from “Enchanted”; “Walk Hard” from “Walk Hard: The Dewey Cox Story.”

TELEVISION:

Series, Drama: “Big Love,” HBO; “Damages,” FX Networks; “Grey’s Anatomy,” ABC; “House,” Fox; “Mad Men,” AMC; “The Tudors,” Showtime.

Actress, Drama: Patricia Arquette, “Medium”; Glenn Close, “Damages”; Minnie Driver, “The Riches”; Edie Falco, “The Sopranos”; Sally Field, “Brothers & Sisters”; Holly Hunter, “Saving Grace”; Kyra Sedgwick, “The Closer.”

Actor, Drama: Michael C. Hall, “Dexter”; Jon Hamm, “Mad Men”; Hugh Laurie, “House”; Jonathan Rhys Meyers, “The Tudors”; Bill Paxton, “Big Love.”

Series, Musical or Comedy: “30 Rock,” NBC; “Californication,” Showtime; “Entourage,” HBO; “Extras,” HBO; “Pushing Daisies,” ABC.

Actress, Musical or Comedy: Christina Applegate, “Samantha Who?”; America Ferrera, “Ugly Betty”; Tina Fey, “30 Rock”; Anna Friel, “Pushing Daisies”; Mary-Louise Parker, “Weeds.”

Actor, Musical or Comedy: Alec Baldwin, “30 Rock”; Steve Carell, “The Office”; David Duchovny, “Californication”; Ricky Gervais, “Extras”; Lee Pace, “Pushing Daisies.”

Miniseries or Movie: “Bury My Heart at Wounded Knee,” HBO; “The Company,” TNT; “Five Days,” HBO; “Longford,” HBO; “The State Within,” BBC America.

Actress, Miniseries or Movie: Bryce Dallas Howard, “As You Like It”; Debra Messing, “The Starter Wife”; Queen Latifah, “Life Support”; Sissy Spacek, “Pictures of Hollis Woods”; Ruth Wilson, “Jane Eyre (Masterpiece Theatre).”

Actor, Miniseries or Movie: Adam Beach, “Bury My Heart at Wounded Knee”; Ernest Borgnine, “A Grandpa for Christmas”; Jim Broadbent, “Longford”; Jason Isaacs, “The State Within”; James Nesbitt, “Jekyll.”

Supporting Actress, Series, Miniseries or Movie: Rose Byrne, “Damages”; Rachel Griffiths, “Brothers & Sisters”; Katherine Heigl, “Grey’s Anatomy”; Samantha Morton, “Longford”; Anna Paquin, “Bury My Heart at Wounded Knee”; Jaime Pressly, “My Name Is Earl.”

Supporting Actor, Series, Miniseries or Movie: Ted Danson, “Damages”; Kevin Dillon, “Entourage”; Jeremy Piven, “Entourage”; Andy Serkis, “Longford”; William Shatner, “Boston Legal”; Donald Sutherland, “Dirty Sexy Money.”

Analysis:  (Because films kick television’s behind, I will only give my thoughts on the half of the Golden Globes that really matter)

Like usual, there were the definite shoe-ins and there were snubs for the best picture races.  The Golden Globes separate the best picture into two different categories, Drama (in which 7 nominations are presented instead of the 5 for the Oscars) and Musical/Comedy.  So with a total of 12 best picture nominations, can anything be determined from the Golden Globes that will lead up to the Oscars.  I don’t think so.

Best Picture, Drama – The two clear frontrunners thus far in the Oscar race (Atonement and No Country for Old Men) are properly listed in the Best Picture Drama race, along with highly predicted There Will Be Blood, Michael Clayton, and American Gangster.  The surprise of the race goes to Eastern Promises, which I thought was a great film with strong performances but with flaws in the script, and The Great Debaters. 
Snubs:  I cannot believe that Sean Penn’s Into the Wild didn’t make the cut.  This is evidence how the box office can prevent an independent film with lots of buzz and raving reviews from making a real impact.
Early Prediction:  In my mind, there is no better movie than No Country for Old Men, but does it have enough star-power to swing the votes their way?  Atonement with Keira Knightley and Jamez McAvoy seems more TV-friendly, along with American Gangster’s all-star cast. 

Best Picture, Musical/Comedy – The surprise of the race goes to Across the Universe.  With mixed reviews, I really didn’t think this 2-hour Beatles music video would appeal highly to the HFPA, but apparently it did.  The other 4 nominees were expected to make the cut.
Snubs:  The only film that I thought would’ve been in the top 5 instead of Across the Universe was Enchanted.  I’m still a bit surprised that it’s not there, but I’ll live.  Also, I was hoping that Apatow’s Knocked Up would make its way on the list.
Early Prediction:  This is quite a race.  Since Dreamgirls won this category last year (over Little Miss Sunshine) I have a feeling Juno and Charlie Wilson’s War are out.  I really doubt Across the Universe will win, so my guess goes to Sweeney Todd (I doubt it’ll get better reviews than Hairspray, but it’ll gross more in the box office and who would you rather see:  Johnny Depp and Tim Burton or Nikki who and Travolta without a fat suit?)

The lead acting categories are also broken down into drama and musical/comedy. 

Lead Actor, Drama – To me, there weren’t any big surprises here.  The one slightly, yet pleasant, surprise in this category was Viggo Mortensen’s nomination.  I’m very glad that Viggo got in this group of great actors instead of John Cusack.  Bravo to the HFPA.
Snubs:  There were a number of actors who could’ve made the list of nominees such as Frank Langella, John Cusack, Russell Crowe, or Josh Brolin.  But the one actor who I am a bit sad who didn’t get nominated was Emile Hirsch for his outstanding performance in Into the Wild.
Early Prediction:  George Clooney and Denzel Washington are the two big guns shooting for the award, although I feel that Daniel-Day Lewis will be able to outlast the popularity of these two and win.

Lead Actress, Drama – There was only one surprise in this category, Jodie Foster’s nomination for The Brave One. 
Snubs:  Some feel that Anamaria Marinca deserved the nomination over Jodie Foster.  Heck, Halle Berry and Ashley Judd probably deserved to be in the top five more than Foster.
Early Prediction:  Julie Christie.  Her performance in Away From Her was heartbreaking.  I cannot see her losing this award… but maybe with the right amount of buzz, Keira Knightley could steal it. 

Lead Actor, Musical/Comedy – The surprise nominee was John C. Reily’s for his hilarious portrayal of Dewey Cox in Walk Hard.  Don’t get me wrong, I love Reily, but there are a number of actors who deserved this more than him.
Snubs:  Glen Hansard in Once is a pure shocker to me.  Does this serve as more evidence how the Golden Globes don’t award the small, unattractive films? 
Early Prediction:  We have two heavyweights battling it out in this category… Tom Hanks vs. Johnny Depp.  Sure, Gosling’s an excellent actor, and so is Philip Seymour Hoffman, but this is a big boy’s race.  This is clearly an early early prediction for me, since neither movie has hit the theaters yet, but from the buzz I’ve been hearing, Charlie Wilson’s War is appreciated by a selective audience.  And I assume Sweeney Todd will more than double the gross of Charlie Wilson’s War… therefore, Johnny Depp will win.

Lead Actress, Musical/Comedy – Again, there was only one surprise nominee in the group… Helena Bonham Carter in Sweeney Todd. 
Snubs:  I would’ve predicted Laura Linney, Keri Russell, and possibly even Nicole Kidman over Carter.  But hey, now four of the five nominees sang.  Unless Ellen Page sings in Juno… hmm… I haven’t seen it yet.
Early Prediction:  With all the musical fans ganging up on each other, I expect this race to be tight, but with the young Ellen Page to take home the statue.

Supporting Actor – I’m quite content with the nominees in this category.  Some might’ve been surprised by Hoffman’s nod for his role in Charlie Wilson’s War, while others might’ve been pushing for a repeat for Sacha Baren Cohen.
Snubs:  Nope… they got it right.
Early Prediction:  As memorable as John Travolta’s speech would probably be, Javier Bardem will win for his chilling role as serial killer Anton Chigurh.

Supporting Actress – Well… I feel that this category is a bit weak.  I’m happy that Saorise Ronan got a nomination.  I’m also glad Julia Robert’s first role in three years scored her a nomination as well.
Snubs:  None.
Early Prediction:  This should be a two-way race between Cate Blanchett and Amy Ryan.  As well as Amy Ryan’s doing thus far in award season, I think Cate Blanchett will win for her outstanding performance as Bob Dylan.

Director – Now here’s a category that always seems to stem off of the best picture category, except with the Golden Globes, the directing award isn’t split.  All five nominees are definitely Best Director caliber, but the surprise, to me, was Ridley Scott’s nomination for American Gangster.  The movie was fun, action packed, and entertaining as hell, but it seems as though its box office success is leading this film to these nominations rather than the execution.
Snubs:  Sean Penn’s Into the Wild, again, gets robbed of a nomination.  I guess the fact of the matter is that no one saw this great movie.  Another snub is Paul Thomas Anderson for There Will Be Blood.  I was a bit surprised that Tim Burton got a nod over Anderson, but I guess they couldn’t have all drama-film directors, right?
Early Prediction:  This is the year for the Coen Brothers.  Nothing else matters.  The Coen Brothers should win this award… hopefully the HFPA feel the same way.

Screenplay – All of these nominees are solid.  Of course there are a number of great screenplays and to narrow it down to just 5 is too hard for me to pick.
Snubs:  Michael Clayton, There Will Be Blood, and Away from Her.
Early Prediction:  Is there enough buzz around Diablo Cody for her Juno script?  I say, the buzz rides all the way to the Golden Globes and this first time writer will win this award.

Foreign Language Film – I haven’t seen any of the nominees, nor do I plan on watching them until the DVDs are released… unless The Kite Runner conveniently runs wherever I am.  So on a totally buzz-listening aspect, these five films were the expected five nominations.
Snubs:  None.
Early Prediction:  The Kite Runner is the most popular from the best selling novel, but The Diving Bell and the Butterfly will take this one… unless again the Globes show off why it’s known as a popularity contest.

Animated Film – Bee Movie.  Ratatouille.  The Simpsons Movie.  Were there any other animated films?  Ah, Beowulf.  Glad that didn’t make the cut.
Early Prediction:  Hands down… Ratatouille.  This shouldn’t even be close.

Original Score – I don’t know much about music in movies… but I can’t believe Once isn’t nominated.

Original Song – I don’t know much about music in movies… but I can’t believe Once isn’t nominated.

So there you have it.  Atonement led all movies with 7 nominations, while Charlie Wilson’s War had 5.  Let’s see if No Country for Old Men continue their dominance during awards season. 


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