2015 Golden Globe Awards (LIVE UPDATE)

January 11, 2015

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It’s that time of the year again! It’s Golden Globes time! But instead of live-blogging this yearly event, I think I’m going to mix it up a bit and post the best tweets that I can find throughout the night. Hopefully this produces one epic Tweetle Dumb post, but we’ll see. Cheers to seeing film and television actors drinking and being merry (and hopefully stumbling around a little).

7:29 p.m.

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Amen sister! Except I’m all out of wine, so I’ll be sipping on some Bulleit Rye Whiskey on the rocks.

7:55 p.m.

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lol true that. Everyone looks so damn gorgeous… well they are actors and there aren’t too many films about ugly people so yeah…

8:04 p.m.

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8:10 p.m.

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8:14 p.m.

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Loved Whiplash and thought Simmons was incredible. Well deserved.

8:17 p.m.

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8:21 p.m.

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Why not?!

8:25 p.m.

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A great win for Billy Bob Thornton for his role in Fargo, but this guy’s right. And then Thornton gives the best, short speech ever!

I’m glad Fargo (my favorite TV show of 2014) got recognition from the HFPA.

8:31 p.m.

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Clearly Eli is one of Meryl Streep’s biggest fans.

8:38 p.m.

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I was just saying this to someone lol. I haven’t seen Jane the Virgin, but have heard very good things about it. Anyway, her speech was really heart felt and it’s great to see Gina Rodriguez so legitimately happy to receive the award.

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And that’s why these awards show do matter. I was surprised that the Amazon show won as well, but I have heard good things about Transparent. Let’s see if the rest of the Globes are going to be as unpredictable…

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Way to throw your family under the bus like that! I wonder how many of them follow Vikram. By the way, Vikram is a great name.

8:49 p.m.

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That would truly be an upset to Linklater and Inarritu, the two favorites. But hey, it can happen right?

9:03 p.m.

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Imagine how the celebrities feel when he’s on stage.

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Agree to disagree I guess?

9:15 p.m.

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How to Train Your Dragon 2 upsets The Lego Movie at the Globes, and people are mad!

9:28 p.m.

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Yeah I have to agree with these tweets, some of the jokes here are just not working, though it is fun to watch how these actors/presenters are sticking with it even when they know it’s not working.

9:37 p.m.

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9:54 p.m.

The Affair wins for Best Television Drama…

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… and people are mad.

10:23 p.m.

Richard Linklater wins for Best Director at the Globes. There weren’t any funny tweets about it, so I just want to comment that Boyhood was my favorite film of 2014 and I’m hoping it takes home all of the awards it deserves.

10:27 p.m.

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I think Stanley is confused, or does he actually believe the most popular shows should be winning? Does that mean he believes The Guardians of the Galaxy was the best film of the year?

10:35 p.m.

Michael Keeton wins for Best Actor – Drama…

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… and everyone is happy! Great win for Keeton. Let’s see if he can keep up the momentum through awards season on his way to the Oscars.

10:45 p.m.

The Grand Budapest Hotel wins for Best Comedy or Musical! I bet Birdman wishes it were in the Drama category now.

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And to my surprise, people are happy for the upset! Mike’s right, Wes Anderson did deserve this. Always a man with movies that fly under the radar and that studios don’t give enough respect to.

10:55 p.m.

Julianne Moore wins Best Actress – Drama and Eddie Redmayne wins Best Actor – Drama. I haven’t seen Still Alice, but Redmayne was great in The Theory of Everything. That’s one hell of a category though and it’ll only be tougher when Michael Keeton gets thrown into the mix for the Oscars. And I still don’t think you can completely rule out Benedict Cumberbatch for The Imitation Game. As for Moore, it’s also a competitive category with great performances from Witherspoon (Wild) and Felicity Jones (The Theory of Everything), but it looks like she’s almost a lock to winning so early in the game.

11:01 p.m.

And the Best Drama Film goes to Boyhood. No surprise there. It was a nice telecast with a great opening monologue from the funny women and some really heart-warming speeches. Maybe I’ll throw in a few more reactions to finish this post, or maybe not. Anyway, that’s a wrap!

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Best Picture Breakdown (87th Academy Awards)

January 10, 2015

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I’ve been slacking a bit this year during the awards season but I’ll try to make up with it from this point on. This year is quite unique in the sense that it seems like it’s a wide open race for Best Picture. At this point last year we knew that Gravity and 12 Years a Slave would be favorites. The year before we knew Lincoln would be a favorite, with Argo’s momentum pushing violently towards the top. But this year? Not only isn’t there a real favorite but there are so many films that have a legitimate shot at receiving a Best Picture nomination. I would guess that there are usually about 12 or so films that have a real chance at a Best Picture nod, but this year? I counted 18.

That’s not saying that there are certainly films that are more likely to receive a nod than others. So let’s start out with our first tier films that are locks to receive a nomination.

First Tier:

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  • Birdman
  • Boyhood
  • The Imitation Game

These are the cream of the crop during this year’s awards season. They all have the support from the SAG, the Golden Globes and plenty of critic circles. Simply put, there is no doubt that these films will be nominated for Best Picture, but at the same time there isn’t a clear front-runner from these three.

Second Tier:

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– The Grand Budapest Hotel
– The Theory of Everything

These two films in the second tier are practically locked to receive a nomination for Best Picture. The Theory of Everything always felt like a Best Picture nomination with its moving story and its incredible Oscar-worthy performances from the two leads, Eddie Redmayne and Felicity Jones. The Grand Budapest Hotel always had the quality to be a Best Picture nominee, but I was always skeptical because it was by the quirky Wes Anderson and because it was released so early on in the year that I thought it would be quickly forgotten. Thankfully it hasn’t and has been receiving a ton of support through awards season. Look for these films to be nominated, but don’t expect either to win unless it upsets during the Guild awards.

Third Tier:

– Whiplash
– Foxcatcher
– Selma
– Into the Woods

This is when the movies get tricky. In this third tier, I find that these films have a good chance at rounding out the Best Picture nominees, but I’m not overly confident about my picks. I loved Whiplash, but aside from JK Simmons receiving attention the film isn’t quite doing enough to lock down a nomination (I blame Sony Pictures Classics for backing Foxcatcher and Mr. Turner over Whiplash). As for Foxcatcher, it’s getting attention for its actors but not really for the movie as a whole. Selma has been receiving great reviews, but it’s the epitome of the difference of opinion between the critics and the Academy. And Into the Woods is close, but missing out on that SAG Ensemble nod really is hurting its chances.

Fourth Tier:

– Gone Girl
– Nightcrawler
– Unbroken
– American Sniper

All of the films here in the fourth tier have a chance to be nominated for Best Picture, but it’s an uphill battle. Gone Girl, Nightcrawler, and American Sniper all got boosts from the PGA nominees, but still don’t have enough momentum yet to be considered Best Picture material. As for Unbroken, it’s on very thin ice at this point but I’m not willing to completely give up on it yet.

Fifth Tier:

– Interstellar
– Wild
– Mr. Turner
– A Most Violent Year
– Inherent Vice

Interstellar was one of the most highly anticipated films of the year. Will that be enough? There usually is one sci-fi film that gets nominated, including Nolan’s Inception in 2010. Wild has been great for Reese Witherspoon and even for Adapted Screenplay, but remember when Into the Wild didn’t receive an expected Best Picture/Best Director nod? Wild could have the same fate. As for Mr. Turner, A Most Violent Year, and Inherent Vice, all are films from very talented directors but haven’t been as well-received from the Academy as they expected.


Golden Globes Awards 2014 Predictions

January 10, 2014

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The 71st Golden Globes Awards will take place this Sunday. Being the first major awards show, the Globes really have no pressure on them, which is the point exactly. Where else could you gather a large amount of the past year’s movie and TV stars in one hall with dinner and most importantly, with drinks being poured. That’s what makes it a must-watch, fun ceremony, compared to the mostly serious (and more prestigious) Academy Awards.

Anyway, here are my predictions for the Golden Globes Awards:

Best Motion Picture (Drama)

“12 Years a Slave”
“Captain Phillips”
“Gravity”
“Philomena”
“Rush”

Prediction: “12 Years a Slave”

This race is between 12 Years a Slave and Gravity, arguably the two best films of the year. While Gravity is likely the more popular pick, I’m going with my gut and predicting 12 Years a Slave. What hurts its chances is how it’s a hard movie to watch with its subject and gruesome violence. And the Golden Globes usually goes with the more popular choice. Gravity is one of the highest grossing films of the year and is definitely the more popular option, but I’m still predicting a minor upset.

Best Motion Picture (Musical/Comedy)

“American Hustle”
“Her”
“Inside Llewyn Davis”
“Nebraska”
“The Wolf of Wall Street”

Prediction: “American Hustle”

While the category is full of great films, I feel like this is a slam dunk for American Hustle. It’s one of the Oscar front-runners (the other two are in the Drama category) and should win the Globes award easily.

Best Actress in a motion picture (Drama)

Cate Blanchett – “Blue Jasmine”
Sandra Bullock – “Gravity”
Judi Dench – “Philomena
Emma Thompson – “Saving Mr. Banks”
Kate Winslet – “Labor Day”

Prediction: Cate Blanchett – “Blue Jasmine”

Blanchett is the clear front-runner during the awards season and should win here. Bullock and Dench could upset, but I’d say it’s very unlikely.

Best Actor in a motion picture (Drama)

Chiwetel Ejiofor – “12 Years a Slave”
Idris Elba – “Mandela: Long Walk To Freedom”
Tom Hanks – “Captain Phillips”
Matthew McConaughey – “Dallas Buyers Club”
Robert Redford – “All Is Lost”

Prediction: Chiwetel Ejiofor – “12 Years a Slave”

McConaughey has been receiving a lot of attention and could very well win this award because let’s face it, he’s a lot more popular than Ejiofor. But Ejiofor, without a doubt, gave the most emotional performance of the year and should be rewarded for it. Meanwhile, Redford plays the dark horse for All is Lost, as he’s the only actor in the physically draining film.

Best Actress in a motion picture (Musical/Comedy)

Amy Adams – “American Hustle”
Julie Delpy – “Before Midnight”
Greta Gerwig – “Frances Ha”
Julia Louis-Dreyfus – “Enough Said”
Meryl Streep – “August: Osage County”

Prediction: Greta Gerwig – “Frances Ha”

All signs are pointing to Meryl Streep, because well she’s Meryl Streep. Amy Adams is probably second to her in this category because she was really able to carry American Hustle more than any of her co-stars. But I’m going with the upset here and saying Greta Gerwig will win. It’ll put her and the underrated Frances Ha on the map towards the Academy Awards.

Best Actor in a motion picture (Musical/Comedy)

Christian Bale – “American Hustle”
Bruce Dern – “Nebraska”
Leonardo DiCaprio – “The Wolf Of Wall Street”
Oscar Isaac – “Inside Llewyn Davis”
Joaquin Phoenix – “Her”

Prediction: Bruce Dern – “Nebraska”

Did I mention how the Musical/Comedy categories are stacked? All of these actors deserve to win the award. I’m assuming the Globes are going to pass on Phoenix and Isaac and concentrate on the bigger names of the group. This definitely puts DiCaprio up there, but my gut’s telling me that Bruce Dern is going to win.

Best Supporting Actress in a motion picture

Sally Hawkins – “Blue Jasmine”
Jennifer Lawrence – “American Hustle”
Lupita Nyong’o – “12 Years a Slave”
Julia Roberts – “August: Osage County”
June Squibb – “Nebraska”

Prediction: Jennifer Lawrence – “American Hustle”

Here we have another race between two youngsters. Jennifer Lawrence was a stand-out in American Hustle and already with an Oscar statue from last year, she’s practically a veteran. But Lupita Nyong’o gave such a powerful performance in 12 Years a Slave, you just can’t ignore it. Since this is the Globes, I’m guessing Lawrence will edge out the win.

Best Supporting Actor in a motion picture

Barkhad Abdi – “Captain Phillips”
Daniel Brühl – “Rush”
Bradley Cooper – “American Hustle”
Michael Fassbender – “12 Years a Slave”
Jared Leto – “Dallas Buyers Club”

Prediction: Jared Leto – “Dallas Buyers Club”

Leto is the clear favorite here and will have his chances even higher if McConaughey isn’t seen as a front-runner in his race. Like McConaughey, Leto transformed himself physically for the role in Dallas Buyers Club and is arguably the most memorable part of the movie.

Best Director – motion picture

Alfonso Cuarón – “Gravity”
Paul Greengrass – “Captain Phillips”
Steve McQueen – “12 Years a Slave”
Alexander Payne – “Nebraska”
David O. Russell – “American Hustle”

Prediction: Alfonso Cuarón – “Gravity”

I can’t imagine Alfonso Cuaron not being recognized for the feat he accomplished in Gravity, a picture that no director has even attempted before. He was able to wow you with his advance technology and also have a complex, emotional story-line with a handful of suspenseful twists. It’s simply the most impressive work of any director this year.

Best Screenplay – motion picture

Spike Jonze – “Her”
Bob Nelson – “Nebraska”
Jeff Pope and Steve Coogan – “Philomena”
John Ridley – “12 Years a Slave”
Eric Warren Singer and David O. Russell – “American Hustle”

Prediction: Eric Warren Singer and David O. Russell – “American Hustle”

While I really would love to see Spike Jonze take this award, I can only imagine American Hustle receiving a big boost of momentum after the Golden Globes, and winning Best Screenplay will surely help.

Best Foreign Language Film

“Blue is the Warmest Color”
“The Great Beauty”
“The Hunt”
“The Past”
“The Wind Rises”

Prediction: “The Hunt”

This could go to either The Hunt, The Past, or the challenging Blue is the Warmest Color. I’m thinking The Hunt will edge out the others.

Best Animated Feature Film

“The Croods”
“Despicable Me 2”
“Frozen”

Prediction: “Frozen”

This is a no-brainer.

Best Original Song – Motion Picture

“Atlas” – “The Hunger Games: Catching Fire”
“Let It Go” – “Frozen”
“Ordinary Love” – “Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom”
“Please Mr. Kennedy” – “Inside Llewyn Davis”
“Sweeter Than Fiction” – “One Chance”

Prediction: “Let It Go” – “Frozen”

Best Original Score – Motion Picture

Alex Ebert – “All is Lost”
Alex Heffes – “Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom”
Steven Price – “Gravity”
John Williams – “The Book Thief”
Hans Zimmer – “12 Years a Slave”

Prediction: Steven Price – “Gravity”

Television Categories

Best TV Series (Drama)

“Breaking Bad”
“Downton Abbey”
“The Goodwife”
“House of Cards”
“Masters of Sex”

Prediction: Breaking Bad

How can Breaking Bad lose this category? One of the best dramas of all-time finally comes to an end. The Globes will reward it.

Best TV Series (Comedy)

“The Big Bang Theory”
“Brooklyn Nine-Nine”
“Girls”
“Modern Family”
“Parks and Recreation”

Prediction: Modern Family

We’re sort of beating the dead horse on this one, but I don’t see how it’ll be any different. Girls could big for an upset. Brooklyn Nine-Nine is a favorite, but I can’t see a new show beating out the rest in this category.

Best TV movie or mini-series

“American Horror Story: Coven”
“Behind the Candelabra”
“Dancing on the Edge”
“Top of the Lake”
“The White Queen”

Prediction: “Behind the Candelabra”

Best Actress in a TV series (Drama)

Julianna Margulies – “The Good Wife”
Tatiana Maslany – “Orphan Black”
Taylor Schilling – “Orange is the New Black”
Kerry Washington – “Scandal”
Robin Wright – “House of Cards”

Prediction: Kerry Washington – “Scandal”

Best Actor in a TV series (Drama)

Bryan Cranston – “Breaking Bad”
Liev Schreiber – “Ray Donovan”
Michael Sheen – “Masters of Sex”
Kevin Spacey – “House of Cards”
James Spader – “The Blacklist”

Prediction: Bryan Cranston – “Breaking Bad”

Best Actress in a TV Series (Comedy)

Zooey Deschanel – “New Girl”
Lena Dunham – “Girls”
Edie Falco – “Nurse Jackie”
Julia Louis-Dreyfus – “Veep”
Amy Poehler – “Parks and Recreation”

Prediction: Julia Louis-Dreyfus – “Veep”

Best Actor, TV Series (Comedy)

Jason Bateman – “Arrested Development”
Don Cheadle – “House of Lies”
Michael J. Fox – “The Michael J. Fox Show”
Jim Parsons – “The Big Bang Theory”
Andy Samberg – “Brooklyn Nine-Nine”

Prediction: Michael J. Fox – “The Michael J. Fox Show”

Best Actress in a mini-series or TV movie

Helena Bonham Carter – “Burton and Taylor”
Rebecca Ferguson – “White Queen”
Jessica Lange – “American Horror Story: Coven”
Helen Mirren – “Phil Spector”
Elisabeth Moss – “Top of the Lake”

Prediction: Elisabeth Moss – “Top of the Lake”

Best Actor in a mini-series or TV movie

Matt Damon – “Behind the Candelabra”
Michael Douglas – “Behind the Candelabra”
Chiwetel Ejiofor – “Dancing on the Edge”
Idris Elba – “Luther”
Al Pacino – “Phil Spector”

Prediction: Michael Douglas – “Behind the Candelabra”

Best Supporting Actress in a series, mini-series, or TV movie

Jacqueline Bisset – “Dancing on the Edge”
Janet McTeer – “White Queen”
Hayden Panettiere – “Nashville”
Monica Potter – “Parenthood”
Sofia Vergara – “Modern family”

Prediction: Monica Potter – “Parenthood”

Best Supporting Actor in a series, mini-series or TV movie

Josh Charles – “The Good Wife”
Rob Lowe- “Behind the Candelabra”
Aaron Paul – “Breaking Bad”
Corey Stoll – “House of Cards”
Jon Voight -” Ray Donovan”

Prediction: Jon Voight -” Ray Donovan”


Golden Globes Nominations 2014

December 13, 2013

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Best Picture, Drama

  • 12 Years a Slave
  • Captain Phillips
  • Gravity
  • Philomena
  • Rush

Best Picture, Comedy/Musical

  • American Hustle
  • Her
  • Inside Llewyn Davis
  • Nebraska
  • The Wolf of Wall Street

Best Director

  • Alfonso Cuaron, Gravity
  • Paul Greengrass, Captain Phillips
  • Steve McQueen, 12 Years a Slave
  • Alexander Payne, Nebraska
  • David O. Russell, American Hustle

Best Actress

  • Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine
  • Sandra Bullock, Gravity
  • Judi Dench, Philomena
  • Emma Thompson, Saving Mr Banks
  • Kate Winslet, Labor Day

Best Actor

  • Chiwetel Ejiofor, 12 Years a Slave
  • Idris Elba, Mandela
  • Tom Hanks, Captain Phillips
  • Matthew McConaghey, Dallas Buyers Club
  • Robert Redford, All Is Lost

Best Actor Comedy/Musical

  • Christian Bale, American Hustle
  • Bruce Dern, Nebraska
  • Leonardo DiCaprio, The Wolf of Wall Street
  • Oscar Isaac, Inside Llewyn Davis
  • Joaquin Phoenix, Her

Best Actress Comedy/Musical

  • Amy Adams, American Hustle
  • Julie Delpy, Before Midnight
  • Greta Gerwig, Frances Ha
  • Julia Louis Dreyfuss, Enough Said
  • Meryl Streep, August: Osage County

Best Supporting Actor

  • Barkhad Abdi, Captain Phillips
  • Daniel Bruhl, Rush
  • Bradley Cooper, American Hustle
  • Michael Fassbender, 12 Years a Slave
  • Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club

Best Supporting Actress

  • Sally Hawkins, Blue Jasmine
  • Jennifer Lawrence, American Hustle
  • Lupita Nyong’o, 12 Years a Slave
  • Julia Roberts, August: Osage County
  • June Squibb, Nebraska

Best Screenplay

  • Her, Spike Jonze
  • Nebraska, Bob Nelson
  • Philomena, Jeff Pope and Steve Coogan
  • 12 Years a Slave, John Ridley
  • American Hustle, Eric Warren Singer and David O. Russell

Best Foreign Language Film

  • Blue is the Warmest Color
  • The Great Beauty
  • The Hunt
  • The Past
  • The Wind Rises

Best Original Song

  • Atlas (Hunger Games)
  • Let it Go (Frozen)
  • Ordinary Love (Mandela)
  • Please Mr. Kennedy (Inside Llewyn Davis)
  • Sweeter Fiction (One Chance)

Best Score

  • All is Lost, Alex Ebert
  • Mandela, Alex Heffes
  • Gravity, Steven Price
  • Book Thief, John Williams
  • 12 Years a Slave, Hans Zimmer

Best Animated Feature

  • The Croods
  • Despicable Me 2
  • Frozen

American Hustle and 12 Years a Slave both received seven nominations, leading all movies in the upcoming Golden Globes. Do we have a legitimate trio of movies competing for Best Picture? Possibly.

As we all know, the split for Drama and Comedy/Musical at the Golden Globes skews the way to perceive movies winning. It’s their way of having ten nominations, which used to double the five Best Picture nominations from a few years ago. So what can we take from the nominees? In the Best Picture, Drama category we will see the 12 Years a Slave vs. Gravity showdown. These two have been front-runners for months and this match-up is like the Yankees vs. the Red Sox. It’s what everyone expected and it’s what everyone will be watching come January 12, 2014.

In the Comedy/Musical category, it’s a lot more wide open, that is unless you expect American Hustle to be a top three contender. But there’s no reason to believe that yet. What we have here are five very very good films with great reviews, actors, and directors. At this point in the game, I don’t see one clear winner. American Hustle has the hot hand with David O. Russell’s recent success and Jennifer Lawrence as arguably the biggest actress, so I’d put that as a slight favorite. Is it really much better than the rest of the nominees though?

Her is creeping into a serious contender ranking on plenty top ten lists with Joaquin Phoenix and Spize Jonze. Nebraska has Alexander Payne and Bruce Dern who are very much due for some accolades. Then The Wold of Wall Street teams up Scorsese with DiCaprio, who might be the best director/actor combo in history. And never count out the Coen brothers with Inside Llewyn Davis. Needless to say, this is a tough category.

The Best Director category sheds some light to how the HFPA feels about the Best Picture nominees. From the ten nominations, they pick five for Best Director. Three are from Drama films and two are from Comedy/Musical. It’s strange to think of a year of movies where Ron Howard, Martin Scorsese, and the Coen brothers have films nominated but were snubbed for Best Director. But that simply shows you how competitive this year is.

Now let’s get into some snubs. With an impressive showing at the SAG Awards nominations, Lee Daniel’s The Butler was ignored completely. That’s right. Nothing for Forest Whitaker and nothing for Oprah. And Saving Mr. Banks only received one nomination for Emma Thompson. Tom Hanks’s as Walt Disney was snubbed, which is having people question his chances when just a day ago it seemed like a lock.

We have the SAG and the Golden Globes nominations. For the record, the SAG Awards nominations mean a lot more when predicting the Oscars because they’re actually a part of The Academy. That being said, The Butler and Saving Mr. Banks is still very well in the picture. So is August: Osage County and Dallas Buyers Club. Meanwhile, Philomena is hovering right at the border right now. Judi Dench is a lock for a nomination, but can the film sneak in for Best Picture? There are still plenty of guild nominations to come.

 


Oscar Talk 2012: The DGA Awards are important (in case you didn’t know)

January 29, 2013

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We all want to be able to correctly predict what film is going to win Best Picture. It’s something you can wildly debate about with your friends for countless hours, and then have the bragging rights if you select the winner. There are even Vegas odds and bets placed on the prestigious night. But while I’ve been in the game of Oscar watching for almost a decade now, there is still only one thing that I know: your guess is as good as mine.

I guess it’s kind of funny for me to admit that, but year after year that is what I keep saying. I’ll give my predictions and my reasons for believing in certain movies and certain upsets, but the truth is that your guess is as good as mine and as good as anyone else’s. If I somehow correctly predict 23 out of the 24 awards given out, I’ll be the first one to tell you that it was luck. Why do I keep doing it? Because it’s so much freakin’ fun.

So back to the game, this past weekend revealed that Argo seems to be back as the front-runner for Best Picture. Winning the PGA and the SAG awards is a pretty big deal. Am I ready to call it for Argo yet? No. It still has the HUGE obstacle of winning without a Best Director nod for Affleck, but if it wins this Saturday at the DGA awards and then gets the WGA, well it’ll practically be a lock then for Argo.

But just because it won the PGA and SAG doesn’t mean it’s a lock quite yet. In 1995, there was a crowd-pleasing film about an American event that went down this same path. Apollo 13 won the PGA, SAG, and even the DGA for Ron Howard (and also Howard didn’t get a Best Director nomination). It was expected for Apollo 13 to take the Oscars, but Braveheart swooped in with the upsets winning Best Picture (and Best Director for Mel Gibson, even though Howard wasn’t nominated).

Needless to say, this is a very strange road to the Oscars that we’ve been on thus far. You know what would really throw a wrench in the whole thing? If Ben Affleck or Steven Spielberg DOESN’T win the DGA. Imagine that? Because whoever wins the DGA out of those two will easily become the front-runner going into the Oscars. But let’s say… Ang Lee wins the DGA (which he’s won twice already). That would really throw a curve-ball at everyone, but at the same time it would hurt Spielberg and Lincoln more than anything else.

ben-affleck-argo      spielberg-lincoln

Okay… so where do we stand? Silver Linings Playbook has NO chance at Best Picture since it lost the SAG where it was expected to win. And unless Ang Lee can win the DGA, you can count Life of Pi completely out as well. As for Amour and Beasts of the Southern Wild, well they’re just happy to be there. So it’s Lincoln vs. Argo down the stretch of the last month before the Oscars air.

Here’s a little bit of history, something like what we’ll be referring back to in the future if Argo wins Best Picture. Driving Miss Daisy is the only film to win Best Picture without a directing nod in 80 years and many people are comparing it to Argo. Born on the Fourth of July was a film that looked like was on its way to a Best Picture win. Here are the accolades for both films leading up to the Oscars:

Driving Miss Daisy
– won PGA
– won Golden Globes Comedy/Musical
– won WGA

Born on the Fourth of July
– won DGA
– won Best Director
– won Golden Globes Director and Drama

Though tradition was on Born of the Fourth of July’s side, Driving Miss Daisy made history with its Best Picture victory. Only once in the last 10 years has the Best Picture winner not matched the Best Director (Crash beating out Brokeback Mountain). So like I said earlier, there is a very good chance that history will be made… that is unless Spielberg wins the DGA and Lincoln sweeps at the Oscars. If that’s the case, we can all just have a good laugh.


Oscar Talk 2012: So Where Are We?

January 25, 2013

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Remember at the Golden Globes when Ben Affleck and Argo won? Well, that has people throwing their hands up in the air with all sorts of celebratory reactions as their favorite movie of the year is finally gaining the respect they feel it deserves. But what does all of this mean with the Oscars only a month away? Does it mean anything at all?

In past years, it might not have. Here are the movies that won both Best Picture Drama and Comedy/Musuical the past 8 years at the Golden Globes:

2012 – Argo and Les Miserables
2011 – The Descendants and The Artist
2010 – The Social Network and The Kids are All Right
2009 – Avatar and The Hangover
2008 – Slumdog Millionaire and Vicky Cristina Barcelona
2007 – Atonement and Sweeney Todd
2006 – Babel and Dreamgirls
2005 – Brokeback Mountain and Walk the Line
2004 – The Aviator and Sideways

From the past 16 movies that won in the last 8 years, only 2 movies have won the Best Picture Oscar. That’s right, only TWO (The Artist and Slumdog Millionaire). So why is everyone jumping on the Argo bandwagon again? I honestly have no idea.

But this weekend the PGA and SAG will announce their winners. After this weekend, we will be able to have a much clearer projection of what will happen at the Oscars. If Argo wins both PGA and SAG, then I’ll admit that Lincoln might be in trouble. If Silver Linings Playbook (in my opinion, the biggest threat to Lincoln) doesn’t win the SAG, then it’s almost as good as dead.

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Back to Argo. Here’s a fun fact for all of those Argo supporters. No director has ever won the DGA, not gotten nominated for an Oscar, and then had their film win BP. Ever. I’m not saying it’s impossible, but it would be an insane feat for Affleck to win the DGA and then see Argo win Best Picture. I’m a big fan of “history repeats itself” and will stick with that mindset over anything else.

If Lincoln gets shut out this weekend and both Argo and Silver Linings Playbook wins, then I’m really going to throw a fit. This could be the most unpredictable Oscars in a very long time, and while that’s frustrating for people like me, honestly it’s the best thing that could happen to the Oscars. I’d much rather be dead wrong and see Lincoln win only one Oscar while Argo wins Best Picture and Ang Lee wins Best Director than see Lincoln sweep the major awards.

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But I’ll still speak what I believe in, and that is Lincoln is the clear front-runner with every other film miles behind. Here are the reasons why:

– Lincoln has the most nominations (12)
– Lincoln has grossed the most money of all nominations
– Has 3 acting nominations and one clear favorite (Daniel Day-Lewis)
– It has ALL of the important nominations
– Steven Spielberg

While Lincoln isn’t many people’s (including mine) favorite film, you cannot ignore how well-made it is. Excellence is displayed on every level of that film, and shouldn’t films like that be rewarded?


Live Blogging: The 70th Annual Golden Globes

January 13, 2013

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So it’s Sunday night and the Patriots seem to have the Texans down for the count, so all that’s left to do for the weekend is watch the Golden Globes! Of course, I have Girls, Shameless and Happy Endings on my DVR for later tonight, but here we go! This is everyone’s favorite celebrity party, mixing the television stars with the movie stars with dinner and alcohol flowing all night long. Let’s get started!

8:00 – Tina Fey and Amy Poehler are the co-hosts and give a silly opening performance. “The beautiful people of film get to rub shoulders with the rat-faced people of television.” There was also a joke for Kathryn Bigelow that targeted James Cameron and torture that received the most uncomfortable laughs and hands covering faces. Overall, a good start to the telecast.

8:09 – Christoph Waltz wins the first Globe award for Best Supporting Actor in Django Unchained. Will this be a sign for things to come? Robert De Niro wasn’t nominated, but the HFPA awarded Waltz over Tommy Lee Jones.

8:12 – Maggie Smith wins Best Supporting Actress for a Series, Mini-Series, or Film Made for Television in Downtown Abbey. Can Downtown Abbey win Best Television Drama? I wouldn’t be too surprised.

8:17 – Best Mini-Series or TV Movie goes to Game Change. HBO is still king of the TV Movie.

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8:21 – Julianne Moore wins Best Actress in a Mini-Series or TV Movie. I still prefer Tina Fey’s Sarah Palin though… and I prefer Moore as an adulterer.

8:29 – The president of the HFPA asks the cameras to pan the crowd of tv and movie stars, but that never happens.

8:33 – Damian Lewis wins for Best Actor in a TV Drama, in a very talented and packed category. I wonder if Homeland is going to sweep its way through the Globes like it did at the Emmys.

8:35 – Paul Rudd and Salma Hayek have nothing to read on the teleprompter and couldn’t even ab-lib. Anyway, the award was for Best TV Series and Homeland wins. Will Claire Danes finish the trifecta? For the record, while I loved the second season of Homeland, it wasn’t as good as the first and was it really better than Downtown Abbey, Breaking Bad and Boardwalk Empire?

8:43 – Tony Mendez and John Goodman announces Argo, one of the year’s best films and up for Best Drama Film.

8:45 – Mychael Danna wins for his tremendous score in the film Life of Pi. Also, Jason Statham is so strong he practically rips the golden envelope in half!

8:48 – And Adele continues her insane popularity with a win for Best Song for “Skyfall.” Is it me or is almost every winner so far British?

8:55 – Best Actor in a Mini-Series or TV Movie goes to Kevin Costner in “Hatfields & McCoys.” Speaking of Kevin Costner, what has he been up to? Last thing I remember him from was Mr. Brooks, but that was in 2007.

8:59 – Bill Clinton gets a standing ovation and announces Lincoln.

9:03 – The only thing funnier than Will Ferrell and Kristen Wiig’s announcement of the Best Actress – Musical or Comedy nominations was the close-up of Tommy Lee Jones totally miserable. And Jennifer Lawrence ends up with the Golden Globe award! She really is the hottest actress in Hollywood at the moment and there’s a very good chance she can ride this wave of success all the way to the Oscars.

9:12 – Is it really fair to group the supporting actors in television in one category? Did Max Greenfield really stand a chance against Ed Harris?

9:15 – Anne Hathaway wins for Best Supporting Actress, basically for singing “I Dreamed a Dream” in Les Miserables. This is her first Golden Globe win in three nominations. She is certainly the favorite going into the Oscars for Best Supporting Actress, which would be her first win in her career.

Sometimes you can tell when an acceptance speech is going to be awesome or not. For instance, Hathaway’s speech made me cringe and she went on far too long, but I swear if Amy Poehler wins for Best Actress they better not cut her off no matter what!

9:24 – Why would they combine Original and Adapted Screenplays? And I’m utterly surprised that Quentin Tarantino beat out the likes of Tony Kushner and Chris Terrio. Like he just said, “Wow, I wasn’t expecting this!” No one was.

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This does raise some questions now at the Oscars. Does this put Tarantino as favorite to beat out Haneke and Boal for Original Screenplay? It just might.

9:27 – Don Cheadle wins for Best Actor in a Comedy for Television. So are you guys keeping count? Because it seems like Showtime is kicking some ass right now. Even though I haven’t watched House of Lies, it’s got to be good to beat out Jim Parsons and Louis C.K.

9:34 – Amour wins for Best Foreign Film and no one is surprised. Note: Michael Haneke is awesome.

9:37 – Claire Danes wins for Best Drama Actress in TV. Homeland wins the trifecta! But the real thing to note on is what the crap is up with Lea Michele’s tan?

9:46 – Sacha Baron Cohen yelled about his co-stars in Les Miserables and then announces Brave to win Best Animated Picture.

9:49 – Just watched the 30-second clip of Life of Pi and it reminded me of how brilliant that movie was. It’s unlikely, but Ang Lee would win my vote for the year’s best director.

9:50 – Aziz Ansari is acting high from “biscuits” that the cast of Downtown Abbey gave him. Anyway, Lena Dunham wins for Best TV Actress in Girls. Speaking of, the second season premiered tonight and I still have yet to realize all the hooplah about the show.

Note: Whenever a first time winner pulls out a piece of paper, you should just cue the music immediately.

Commercial: Kerri Russell is looking mighty fine in her new show, The Americans.

10:03 – Cecil B. DeMille Award for Jodie Foster, the two-time Oscar winner. What a beautiful speech.

10:16 – Ben Affleck wins Best Director! A nice consolation for being snubbed at the Oscars, something that no one could have predicted for his incredible film, Argo. When it comes down to it, Ben Affleck belongs with the group of the year’s best directors and has really showcased his talent behind the camera in the recent years of his career. He has become one of our generation’s best mainstream directors and there’s no doubt he’ll receive his due from the Academy in the near future.

10:22 – Girls wins for Best TV Comedy/Musical. Robyn’s music plays while the cast of Girls walks through the entire hall to receive their award. This is the first cable-show to win Best TV Comedy in five years. Will the Emmys follow suit or will the Emmys continue to award Modern Family?

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10:30 – Hugh Jackman wins for Best Actor – Comedy/Musical. Les Miserables has won two acting awards, but again the Globes separate the Comedy/Musical from the real movies. Still, Hugh Jackman gave a great performance in Les Miserables and there is no other actor that could’ve played Jean Valjean like he did.

Don’t you think that the Golden Globes should be aired on cable so they can allow the actors to curse as they please? I think there’s a big audience for that.

10:40 – Les Miserables wins for Best Comedy/Musical. I still feel Silver Linings Playbook is one of the biggest competitions for Lincoln, and in a way it’s good that it didn’t win the Golden Globes because in the past eight years, there have only been two Best Picture winners at the Oscars that won the Golden Globes Best Picture (Drama or Comedy/Musical).

10:47 – Jessica Chastain wins for Best Actress and now the Chastain vs. Lawrence discussion will really heat up. Note: Chastain gives the best acceptance speech of the night (not counting Foster).

10:50 – SURPRISE! Daniel Day-Lewis wins for Best Actor… okay obviously it wasn’t a surprise and it won’t be when he wins his third Oscar in February.

10:57 – Argo wins Golden Globes as expected. So that means this awards season is shaping up like in 2011 when The Social Network won the Globes’ Directing and Picture while The King’s Speech only won for Best Drama Actor (Colin Firth). And we all know that The King’s Speech wound up winning four of the major Oscar awards including Best Picture and Best Director.

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The Golden Globes was a fun ceremony. The big winners were Girls, Homeland, Argo and Les Miserables. Now it’s time for me to watch the Girls premiere since the HFPA thinks its the best comedy on the air.


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