2010 Oscar Nominations Predictions

All right folks, it’s that time of the year (and one of my favorites).  Tomorrow morning The Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences will announce their nominations for this year’s Academy Awards.  This has been quite a year for cinema.  You couldn’t last a month without a Sandra Bullock film in the theaters, animation was especially strong this year, war movies were actually well-received, and records were smashed by a sci-fi film about blue people.

So that means I’m going to try to predict the nominations for all the major categories.  Let’s see how I do after tomorrow.

Best Picture

  • A Serious Man
  • An Education
  • Avatar
  • District 9
  • The Hurt Locker
  • Inglourious Basterds
  • Invictus
  • Precious
  • Up
  • Up in the Air

Notes:  I’m pretty sure that I’ll atleast get 8/10 in this category.  Possible films that could sneak into the Best Picture category include:  The Messenger, Nine, (500) Days of Summer, and Star Trek.  The films that I chose that could get the boot are District 9 (because it’s a film with late momentum hoping to sneak in) and Up (because it’ll become only the second animated feature to be nominated, and also Fantastic Mr. Fox has been stealing some praise).  Which brings me to this point… was 10 nominations necessary?  We have an excellent group of FIVE films here (Avatar, The Hurt Locker, Inglourious Basterds, Precious, Up in the Air), films 6-10 don’t even have a shot in hell at winning.

Best Director

  • Kathryn Bigelow (The Hurt Locker)
  • James Cameron (Avatar)
  • Lee Daniels (Precious)
  • Jason Reitman (Up in the Air)
  • Quentin Tarantino (Inglourious Basterds)

Notes:  Congrats to Kathryn Bigelow to become the first female to win the Best Director award from the DGA.  Now can she do it at the Oscars?  Ex-husband James Cameron and the beloved and over-due Quentin Tarantino are very strong candidates to spoil her party.

Best Actor

  • Jeff Bridges (Crazy Heart)
  • George Clooney (Up in the Air)
  • Colin Firth (A Single Man)
  • Morgan Freeman (Invictus)
  • Jeremy Renner (The Hurt Locker)

Notes:  I’m almost positive this group of five will be nominated tomorrow.  The only concern is if Jeremy Renner will be replaced by a bigger name… possibly Viggo Mortensen (The Road) or Tobey Maguire (Brothers)?  I sure hope not because Renner’s performance in The Hurt Locker is stunning.

Best Actress

  • Sandra Bullock (The Blind Side)
  • Helen Mirren (The Last Station)
  • Carey Mulligan (An Education)
  • Gabourey Sidibe (Precious)
  • Meryl Streep (Julie & Julia)

Notes:  I’m not taking any risks in this category.  There is a chance that Tilda Swinton (Julia) or Emily Blunt (The Young Victoria) can sneak into this category.  If that happens they would probably replace Helen Mirren.  But I don’t think that’s going to happen.

Best Supporting Actor

  • Matt Damon (Invictus)
  • Woody Harrelson (The Messenger)
  • Christopher Plummer (The Last Station)
  • Stanley Tucci (The Lovely Bones)
  • Christoph Waltz (Inglourious Basterds)

Notes:  The only think noteworthy about this category is that Christoph Waltz is going to win.  Anyone else should just be happy with a nomination.

Best Supporting Actress

  • Vera Farmiga (Up in the Air)
  • Anna Kendrick (Up in the Air)
  • Mo’Nique (Precious)
  • Julianne Moore (A Single Man)
  • Samantha Morton (The Messenger)

Notes:  The only thing noteworthy about this category is that Mo’Nique is going to win.  Anyone else should just be happy with a nomination.

Best Original Screenplay

  • (500) Days of Summer
  • A Serious Man
  • The Hurt Locker
  • Inglourious Basterds
  • Up

Best Adapted Screenplay

  • An Education
  • District 9
  • Fantastic Mr. Fox
  • Precious
  • Up in the Air

Best Animated Feature

  • Coraline
  • Fantastic Mr. Fox
  • Ponyo
  • The Princess and the Frog
  • Up

Well that’s that.  I’m not going to get into the technical categories.  So let’s see how well I do tomorrow morning.

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