Box Office Predictions (Jan. 8-10)

So what do we got in store for this weekend?  Three new wide releases, but there’s nothing impressive about the quality of the first new films of the decade.

Starting with a vampire flick from Lionsgate, but fortunately not a Twilight-related movie, Daybreakers will try to put the bite back into the old vampire myth.  Starring Ethan Hawke, Willem Dafoe, and Sam Neill, this R-rated thriller/horror should do pretty well in the box office, although there’s no way it can compete with Avatar (can anything?).

Next is a sweet romantic comedy in Leap Year, starring the lovely Amy Adams and Matthew Goode.  While Daybreakers is the movie aiming for the male demographic, Leap Year is aiming for the females.  This PG-13 rom-com might suffer from not having any huge stars, or it could launch Amy Adams into many more rom-com roles in the future.  In my opinion, she’s too talented of an actress to be doing romantic comedies like these.

And finally, the Michael Cera-led comedy titled Youth in Revolt.  I’m surprised this film is rated-R when it’s obvious more appealing to teenagers than adults.  Expect that to hurt its box office sales for the weekend.

Oh, in case you lost count, Avatar has surpassed Lord of the Rings, Return of the King as the second highest-grossing film worldwide of all-time.  All eyes are on the prize now:  Titanic.

Here are my predictions:

1.  Avatar – $45 million
2.  Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Squeakquel – $20 million
3.  Sherlock Holmes – $18 million
4.  Daybreakers – $16 million
5.  It’s Complicated – $12 million


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