Box Office Predictions (Nov. 20-22)

All right, I’ve been purposely avoiding the while Twilight Saga on my blog for so long, mainly because I don’t want to write about it (which is probably a bad move when it comes down to viewership).  But now it’s inevitable.  The Twilight Saga: New Moon is released today (cue thousands of teenage girls screaming).  Anyway, here we go.

New Moon will hit 4,000+ theaters this weekend.  We all saw what the first film, Twilight, accomplished: $70 million its opening weekend.  There’s no doubt there is a lot of hype for the sequel with the switch of directors and the dominant Team Jacob storyline (that’s right, I know some stuff about Twilight).  It really isn’t a question what film will top the box office this weekend, it’s how much New Moon will gross.  Your guess is as good as mine.

Surprisingly, there are two other movies being released this weekend.  There’s the family-friendly animation about aliens titled Planet 51.  And guess what?  It’s not in 3-D!  Say what?!  It seems rare these days to see an animated film in the theaters without having the opportunity to put on some awesome 3-D glasses.  Although this film isn’t receiving the same kind of buzz like other top animated films get, it’ll probably still draw a decent audience.

Finally, Sandra Bullock is back in action in a sports drama titled The Blind Side.  Based on a true story of Michael Oher, the reviews have been favorable with ads claiming it’s Sanda Bullock’s best acting performance of her career.  But unless word of mouth is strong, this movie could easily fall off the map this weekend.

Here are our predictions:

My Predictions:

1.  New Moon – $100 million
2.  2012 – $30 million
3.  The Blind Side – $17 million
4.  Planet 51 – $15 million
5.  A Christmas Carol – $13 million

Dan’s Predictions:

1.  New Moon – $105 million
2.  2012 – $20 million
3.  The Blind Side – $18 million
4.  A Christmas Carol – $7 million
5.  Precious – $4 million

Phil’s Predictions:

1.  New Moon – $80 million
2.  Planet 51 – $30 million
3.  2012 – $28 million
4.  The Blind Side – $15 million
5.  A Christmas Carol – $11 million

Sheehan’s Prediction:

1.  New Moon – $79 million
2.  2012 – $35 million
3.  A Christmas Carol – $15 million
4.  Planet 51 – $14 million
5.  The Blind Side – $10 million

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