Box Office Predictions (August 14-16)
There’s an interesting occurance this weekend… FIVE new releases! There is absolutely no reason for anyone to avoid going to the theaters this weekend since there is literally a movie for every genre. Let’s get to it.
First up, the sci-fi thriller District 9, which I am very excited to catch this weekend. This R-rated film is produced by Peter Jackson, so there’s atleast some credibility to the title. The trailers and commercials have been very intriguing, although I honestly don’t know what the movie is about. Who cares. Aliens and humans living together and then go to war (is that accurate?)… I’m in! The reviews have been great thus far (93% on Rotten Tomatoes) and the word of mouth has been strong. But for the type of film it is, and with no big-name actors, can it draw in people outside of its target audience? That will decide its ranking in the box office.
Next… the fantasy/romance based on the best-selling novel of the same name, The Time Traveler’s Wife. Get out your tissues and hankerchiefs because this one looks like a tear-fest. Starring Rachel McAdams and Eric Bana, this PG-13 will be appearing in about 3,000 this weekend. This film might see some competition among females with Julie & Julia, but the younger audience should side with The Time Traveler’s Wife.
And then we have Bandslam, a high school film about students playing music and competing in a battle of the bands contest. Starring Vanessa Hudgens in a role other than High School Musical, yet still keeping up with the music theme… the main attraction for this film seems to be the highly advertised Twilight Saga: New Moon trailer that will debut before Bandslam. Isn’t that sort of a smack in the face to the movie? Anyway, let’s see if Vanessa Hudgens can lead a film to success like her HSM counter-part, Zac Efron, has proven.
Batting clean-up in my summary of new releases is the R-rated comedy, The Goods: Live Hard, Sell Hard. Starring Jeremy Piven, the trailers and commercials offer a decent amount of laughs but there’s just something about it that’s keeping me away. Only appearing in about 1,500 theaters, I don’t expect The Goods to do any major damage at the box office.
Finally rounding out the new releases for this weekend is Japan’s legend of animation, Hayao Miyazaki’s Ponyo. Only debuting in under 1,000 theaters, this film can’t battle it out with the bigger blockbusters but I’m really eager to catch this movie.
Here are our predictions…
1. G.I. Joe: The Rise of Cobra – $32 million
2. District 9 – $28 million
3. The Time Traveler’s Wife – $15 million
4. Julie & Julia – $12 million
5. Bandslam – $9 million
1. G.I. Joe: The Rise of Cobra – $35 million
2. District 9 – $30 million
3. The Time Traveler’s Wife – $25 million
4. The Goods: Live Hard, Sell Hard – $20 million
5. Julie & Julia – $14 million
1. District 9 – $40 million
2. The Time Traveler’s Wife – $35 million
3. G.I. Joe: The Rise of Cobra – $27 million
4. The Goods: Live Hard, Sell Hard – $15 million
5. Julie & Julia – $9 million