Box Office Predictions (June 19-21)

theproposal year-one

In the past few weeks, The Hangover and Up has had a strangle hold on the box office.  In addition to that, June seems to be the month of comedies as the genre has filled the theaters while the action films of May are fading out.  To keep the trend going forward, we have two new comedy releases this weekend, The Proposal and Year One.

The Proposal is that annoying romantic comedy you’ve been bombarded with commercials and trailers starring Sandra Bullock and Ryan Reynolds.  The premise is that Bullock faces deportation and on a whim she says she’s marrying her assistant.  So they go to Alaska to spend the weekend with Reynolds’ family, which is supposed to provide for a number of humorous situations.  But we all know how this movie is going to play out and we know how it’s going to end.  Still, romantic comedies for chicks is usually a hot ticket and I don’t expect The Proposal to be any different.

And then we have Year One, the biblical comedy starring Jack Black and Michael Cera as two cavemen who leave their village and explore the world.  So I assume this is going to be a buddy, road trip style of film but in an nontraditional setting.  Michael Cera has appears in some of the most successful comedies in the past few years like Superbad and Juno.  And if Jack Black is still himself, this duo has the potential to provide a lot of laughs.

Here are our predictions:

My Predictions:

1.  The Proposal – $25 million
2.  The Hangover – $24 million
3.  Up – $18 million
4.  Year One – $14 million
5.  The Taking of Pelham 1 2 3 – $12 million

Chris’ Predictions:

1.  Year One – $55 million
2.  The Proposal – $20 million
3.  Up – $18 million
4.  The Hangover – $16 million
5.  The Taking of Pelham 1 2 3 – $11 million

Phil’s Predictions:

1.  Year One – $30 million
2.  The Proposal – $25 million
3.  The Hangover – $18 million
4.  Up – $14 million
5.  The Taking of Pelham 1 2 3 – $8 million

Sheehan’s Predictions:

1.  The Hangover – $27 million
2.  Up – $25 million
3.  Year One – $20 million
4.  The Taking of Pelham 1 2 3 – $18 million
5.  The Proposal – $15 million

As you can see, this is going to be a very interesting and closely watched weekend at the box office.  The top 3 or 4 films should be relatively close with one another.  Sheehan is still sticking with The Hangover to continue its incredible box office run.  He predicts it’ll win a third straight weekend, which would be a great feat especially during the summer.  Phil and Chris both have Year One winning the weekend and I think The Proposal will slightly edge out The Hangover for the top spot.

Let’s see how our predictions stand.  Check back on Monday for the box office results.

One Response to Box Office Predictions (June 19-21)

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