Box Office Predictions (May 29-31)

pixar-up-poster drag_me_to_hell_poster

Let’s just take a step back and admire what a wonderful month of May has been.  Every week there was a new summer blockbuster film that audiences flocked to see.  From the trio of prequels (Wolverine, Star Trek, and Angels & Demons) to the sequels (Terminator Salvation and Night at the Museum: Battle of the Smithsonian), there were action films, super-hero films, family films, sci-fi films, etc.

Well with the last weekend of May we have two new releases that the month hasn’t seen yet:  a 3-D animation and a horror film.

First, Up – the finest studio in the business, Pixar’s, first 3-D feature film.  This has been on my calendar for months and now it’s finally out.  I cannot wait to see it, and I know I’m not alone.  Up tells the story of an elderly widow who goes on an aerial adventure with a young boy and some animals as his house sails through the sky from a great number of balloons.  Rated PG and being released in about 3,800 theaters, expect this critically acclaimed, family-friendly film to top the box office this weekend.

And then there’s Drag Me to Hell, the critically acclaimed summer horror film.  Writer/director Sam Raimi finally returns to his horror roots (Evil Dead), escaping the Spider-Man franchise, to surely score a hit with audiences who have been craving a horror movie the past few weeks.  Combining horror with some comic relief, plus a PG-13 rating should fare well with its box office results.  Horrors have been doing very well in 2009 so there is little reason to believe that Drag Me to Hell won’t make the Top 5.

Here are our predictions:

My Predictions:

1.  Up – $66 million
2.  Night at the Museum: Battle of the Smithsonian – $32 million
3.  Drag Me to Hell – $24 million
4.  Terminator Salvation – $19 million
5.  Star Trek – $14 million

Chris’ Predictions:

1.  Up – $45 million
2.  Night at the Museum: Battle of the Smithsonian – $35 million
3.  Terminator Salvation – $24 million
4.  Star Trek – $19 million
5.  Drag Me to Hell – $13 million

Sheehan’s Predictions:

1.  Up – $75 million
2.  Night at the Museum: Battle of the Smithsonian – $40 million
3.  Terminator Salvation – $29 million
4.  Drag Me to Hell – $22 million
5.  Star Trek – $12 million

Phil is on vacation in China for the next two weeks.  We will miss his role on hte Predictions Panel until he returns.  The rest of us unanimously has Pixar’s Up winning the box office this weekend, although all of our gross estimates vary.  Actually, our predictions look very similar.  The one movie that is bounced around in our predicted Top 5 is Drag Me to Hell.  We’ll see where it ends up.

Check back on Monday for the box office results.

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