Box Office Predictions (April 24-26)

obsessed-movie fighting-poster soloist-poster disney-earth-movie

After two consecutive weekends where movies with tween stars ended up on top, there is a nice variety of four new releases that will try to take the box office crown away from them.

First, the PG-13 thriller Obsessed starring Beyonce, Ali Later, and Idris Elba.  Opening in about 2,500 theaters, this film should be able to bring in the African American demographic along with the teens.  I think this has the best shot at taking the top spot this weekend.

Next is Fighting, a PG-13 action film about the underground world of street fighting.  Starring Channing Tatum.  That’s pretty much all I know about the film.  I haven’t seen a trailer or commercial so I guess that’s it.

On Wednesday, Disney released the animal/environment documentary, Earth.  Debuting in about 1,800 theaters, it made approximately $4 million on Wednesday.  Documentaries usually aren’t box office hits (March of the Penguins being the exception), so I don’t expect Earth to have an impact in the Top 5.

Finally, the bio-pic/drama by Joe Wright (Pride & Prejudice, Atonement) titled The Soloist.  Starring Robert Downey Jr. and Jamie Foxx, the movie tells the story of a journalist befriending a homeless Julliard trained musician.  This seems like an untimely release for a movie with an Oscar-caliber cast.  The mixed reviews suggests that it would’ve been chewed up and spat out if it was released in November.  Nonetheless, The Soloist is depending on the mature audiences to flock to the theaters.

Let’s check out our predictions:

My Predictions:

1.  Obsessed – $17 million
2.  17 Again – $12 million
3.  Fighting – $10 million
4.  The Soloist – $8 million
5.  Monsters vs. Aliens – $8 million

Chris’ Predictions:

1.  The Soloist – $20 million
2.  17 Again – $15 million
3.  Obsessed – $13 million
4.  State of Play – $9 million
5.  Monsters vs. Aliens – $8 million

Sheehan’s Predictions:

1.  Obsessed – $15 million
2.  17 Again – $14 million
3.  The Soloist – $13 million
4.  State of Play – $11 million
5.  Earth – $10 million

Phil’s Predictions:

1.  Fighting – $25 million
2.  Obsessed – $16 million
3.  17 Again – $12 million
4.  Earth – $9 million
5.  The Soloist – $7 million

The four new releases created quite a stir in the Predictions Panel for this weekend.  If there’s one thing we all agreed on, it’s that the box office race will be close.  Half of the Panel picked Obsessed to take the #1 spot.  Phil is the only one who thinks all four new films will land on the Top 5.

Check back on Monday for the box office results.


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