Studio Estimates (April 3-5):
1. Fast & Furious – $72.5 million
2. Monsters vs. Aliens – $33.5 million
3. The Haunting in Connecticut – $9.6 million
4. Knowing – $8.1 million
5. I Love You, Man – $7.9 million
6. Adventureland – $6 million
So it was almost unanimous among the Predictions Panel that Fast & Furious would win the box office, but we didn’t predict an enormous $72.5 million weekend gross. This is the biggest debut for an opening weekend in April ever (the previous biggest opening weekend was Anger Management with $42 million). The other new release this weekend, Adventureland, failed to place in the Top 5 with only a $6 million gross. It was definitely a tough sell but I really thought that a strong word of mouth and good reviews would persuade some people away from Fast & Furious… guess I was wrong.
Let’s see who had the most accurate predictions. Chris, again, showed us that his lack of research on upcoming movies resulted in a disaster. Phil’s predictions weren’t too bad, but his big fault was giving Adventureland too much credit with a $19 million guess. It came down to Sheehan and myself for the weekend’s best predictions. Although Sheehan guessed the rankings of the movies better than I did (4 of the Top 5 in correct order), his gross predictions were off by $46 million to my $35 million. I guess we can say we tied.
Check back on Friday for our new predictions. There are three new releases, all with great potential: Dragonball Evolution, Hannah Montana The Movie, and Observe and Report.