This holiday weekend we have a free-for-all for the box office title. The two big new releases are the family film Hotel for Dogs and the goofy-comedy Paul Blart: Mall Cop. And then there’s the 3-D horror experience, My Bloody Valentine… the biopic, Notorious… the Holocaust film, Defiance… and the romantic comedy, Last Chance Harvey.
First off, the 3-D technology has spilled over to the horror genre in My Bloody Valentine. I hate horror films, but The Unborn did surprisingly well last weekend and I assume My Bloody Valentine will continue the success for horrors. The only thing that intrigues me is the 3-D aspect… come on, doesn’t everyone wish they had a chainsaw flying at their face? Even though this film’s only opening in about 2,500 theaters, the tickets will be more expensive and I think that’ll be the clincher to top the box office.
Next, the Kevin James comedy, Paul Blart: Mall Cop. This PG-rated film opening in over 3,000 theaters has a chance to do some damage this weekend. The question is: will the movie be too dumb for most people… or just dumb enough to enjoy?
What was my formula a few weeks ago? Something about dog movies being a guarantee success? Well, I’m not too sure about this family-pet film, Hotel for Dogs. It’s going to need a real boost to beat out the 3-D film. The PG rating and the widest opening (3,271 theaters) helps… and hey, if a movie about singing and dancing chihuahuas can steal the show, Hotel for Dogs should have a shot, too.
To round out the rest of the releases, Notorious is the biopic of the hip-hop star Notorious B.I.G., Defiance is the Daniel Craig war/drama directed by Ed Zwick (Blood Diamond), and Last Chance Harvey is the sweet romantic comedy starring Dustin Hoffman and Emma Thompson.
Here are our predictions.
NOTE: We have a new member of our box office predictions team, Chris.
1. My Bloody Valentine: 3-D – $24 million
2. Paul Blart: Mall Cop – $21 million
3. Gran Torino – $20 million
4. Notorious – $17 million
5. Hotel for Dogs – $15 million
1. Hotel for Dogs – $30 million
2. Notorious – $23 million
3. Gran Torino – $15 million
4. Paul Blart: Mall Cop – $12 million
5. Bride Wars – $8 million
1. Paul Blart: Mall Cop – $30 million
2. Gran Torino – $27 million
3. My Bloody Valentine: 3-D – $20 million
4. Hotel for Dogs – $18 million
5. Bride Wars – $15 million
All three of us picked a different movie for the #1 spot. And all three have a solid chance as taking the top spot since this weekend’s box office seems so unpredictable. My predictions left out the chick-comedy, Bride Wars, for all the new releases this weekend. Chris left out Notorious on this MLK weekend while Phil failed to include my #1 pick, My Bloody Valentine.
Check back Monday for the results.