MCN Movie Scoreboard = Oscar Nominations?

Movie City News collects a number of Top Ten Lists from critics and compiles a Scoreboard of the year’s top movies.  So far, with 184 Top Lists tallied, here are the Top Ten:

1.  Wall-E
2.  The Dark Knight
3.  Slumdog Millionaire
4.  Milk
5.  The Wrestler
6.  Rachel Getting Married
7.  The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
8.  Happy-Go-Lucky
9.  Man on Wire
10. Let the Right One In

Notables:

11. Frost/Nixon
12. The Visitor
13. Synechdoche, New York
13. Wendy & Lucy
17. Revolutionary Road
18. Vicky Christina Barcelona
19. Paranoid Park
20. Waltz with Bashir
25. The Reader
26. Doubt
32. Gran Torino

So what does this mean?  Well, looking at the movies that are serious Oscar contenders, they’re mostly at the top of the list.  This includes:  WALL-E, The Dark Knight, Slumdog Millionaire, Milk, and The Curious Case of Benjamin Button.  But this shouldn’t be a real reason for any films not in the top ten to worry about, like:  Frost/Nixon, Revolutionary Road, The Reader, Doubt, and Gran Torino.  It’s known that critics’ Top Ten Lists don’t always coincide with The Academy’s choices.

Let’s take a look at the past years’ scoreboard and the Best Picture Nominees (in bold… * denotes the winner):

2007:

1.  No Country for Old Men*
2.  There Will Be Blood
3.  Zodiac
4.  The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
5.  Once
6.  Juno
7.  Atonement
8.  Into the Wild
9.  Ratatouille
10. Away from Her

Notables:

13. Sweeney Todd
15. Michael Clayton
17. Eastern Promises
18. The Lives of Others

2006:

1.  United 93
2.  The Queen
3.  The Departed*
4.  Letters from Iwo Jima
5.  Pan’s Labyrinth
6.  Borat
7.  Little Miss Sunshine
8.  Babel
9.  Little Children
10. Children of Men

Notables:

11. Dreamgirls
12. Half Nelson
18. A Prairie Home Companion
25. An Inconvenient Truth

2005:

1.  Brokeback Mountain
2.  A History of Violence
3.  Capote
4.  Good Night, and Good Luck
5.  The Squid and the Whale
6.  King Kong
7.  Crash*
8.  Munich
9.  Grizzly Man
10. 2046

Notables:

11. The Constant Gardener
13. Match Point
14. Syriana
17. Pride & Prejudice
18. Batman Begins
19. Walk the Line
20. Sin City
24. Cinderella Man

2004:

1.  Sideways
2.  Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
3.  Million Dollar Baby*
4.  The Aviator
5.  Before Sunset
6.  The Incredibles
7.  Kinsey
8.  Hotel Rwanda
9.  House of Flying Daggers
10. Fahrenheit 9/11

Notables:

13. Finding Neverland
16. Ray
23. Closer

For the past three years, every Best Picture nominee was on the scoreboard’s Top Ten except for one (last year’s Michael Clayton).  That’s 14 of the last 15 Best Picture nominees.  Not too shabby.    As much as people like to believe that they don’t, it seems that critics’ lists are playing a part in determining the Oscars.  My prediction as of now is that four of the five Best Picture nominees will be on the scoreboard’s Top Ten (The Dark Knight, Slumdog Millionaire, Milk, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button).  Who will be the other film to sneak into the fifth spot?  Many feel Frost/Nixon is the best bet.  And then there’s Revolutionary Road still competing for the last spot.  But don’t forget the little, lovable robot at the #1 spot on the scoreboard:  WALL-E.  People are very passionate for this film, and for great reason.  If there’s any animated film that should be nominated for Best Picture, WALL-E should be it.  And is it really possible for the best reviewed film of the entire year to not be included in the Best Picture category?  Just look at United 93 in 2006.  So although WALL-E definitely deserves a nod, I still don’t think The Academy will take an animated film serious enough.  I sure hope I’m wrong.

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One Response to MCN Movie Scoreboard = Oscar Nominations?

  1. I have attempted to post a response on this blog and each time I try the form refreshes the screen or provides an error. Do you think the author possibly check into the reason this is happening?

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